The Rational Root is a Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analyst and in this interview, we discuss developing & using Bitcoin price models. We look in detail specifically at his Bitcoin Spiral Models, Bitcoin hodl price models and Bitcoin halving & cycle charts.

Bitcoin is currently in a bear market that the vast majority failed to predict. In fact, late last year, there was a lot of talk about $100k, $200k+ bitcoin that clearly failed to materialise. While bitcoin has experienced drops like this before, this time, the cycles played out differently.

So why are we in a bear market? Alongside the wider macro environment of the fed tightening and raising interest rates, Bitcoin was dragged down by the collapse of Terra/Luna and the subsequent Three Arrows Capital & Celcius meltdown (amongst others), and in June, the price got as low as $17,500.

Since then, bitcoin has been relatively stable, bouncing between $20k-$25k. Onchain analysis shows that since the June bottom, bitcoin has been under heavy accumulation. The question now is, where is the bottom and have we already hit it?

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Introduction 00:07:40 Bitcoin Spiral Models 00:23:08 Hodl Model 00:37:29 Hodl price model 00:49:18 Bitcoin halvings; cycle charts 00:56:53 Other data: short-term holder supply; bottom indicators 01:01:07 Personal usage of models & data

WHERE TO FIND THE SHOW:

→ My website: https://www.whatbitcoindid.com/podcast/ → iTunes: https://apple.co/2OOlzVV → Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2ygc4W1 → Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2IQO8fX → SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/2CGSVQR → YouTube: https://bit.ly/3nyi9Ez → TuneIn: https://bit.ly/2ywystr

• https://nitter.it/therationalroot

• https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1MxS7LJSm19aI4bubsY3QK286OAoLPaXw/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=106711385082228540353&rtpof=true&sd=true

• https://nitter.it/therationalroot/status/1566755207698173952