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361 sats \ 23 comments \ @Undisciplined 5 Oct Stacker_Sports

I'm a little bummed about that TNF result. I had a Buccs moneyline + the over parlay that was looking great right down to the final second of regulation. Still, it was a very exciting game.

I was up last week after hitting on the Commies + the over and the Donkeys + the under.

Here are the parlays I like this week:

Vikings + the over (+225)
Panthers + the over (+400)
Bengals + the under (+330)
Colts + the under (+340)
Browns + the under (+400)
Raiders + the under (+335)
Cards + the over (+600)
Rams + the over (+335)
Cowboys + the over (+330)
Saints + the over (+445)

I needed to hit about three of these (including the TNF game) and I felt a lot better about that before Primetime Kirk pulled that win out in OT.

I also took a flier on the Miami Heat to make the finals again at +2500. I can't stop myself from drinking the Heat Culture Kool-Aid.

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39 sats \ 8 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 5 Oct

Ive got some ufc stuff going tonight, kind of want some baseball action

21 sats \ 7 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

You could parlay your division round picks from the pick'em. Bet on yourself.

33 sats \ 5 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 5 Oct

I'm trying to win money here not lose

21 sats \ 4 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

Why'd you make those picks, if you don't believe in them?

21 sats \ 3 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 5 Oct

I had 1 point so some of that is hoping to play catch up...I also don't bet on games I'm not watching and most likely won't be watching anything outside of the Mets

21 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

Are there any underdogs you think have a good shot?

36 sats \ 1 reply \ @BTC_Bellzer 5 Oct

I've watched 3 baseball games this season, I'm the wrong guy to ask 😅

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

Three more than me

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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @BTC_Bellzer 5 Oct

Well there goes my baseball parlay, had a tied 1st as 1 leg

35 sats \ 5 replies \ @Satosora 5 Oct

Im just curious, are you up or down for the year 2024 on all your betting on sports? Lol

20 sats \ 4 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

I'm definitely up on the bets that have already settled. If I lose all of my outstanding bets, then I'll be down a little.

39 sats \ 3 replies \ @Satosora 5 Oct

Congrats. I hope you keep winning.

20 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

I'm pretty selective. Most bets I make have better than fair odds, so I make lots of fairly small returns.

36 sats \ 1 reply \ @Satosora 5 Oct

Someone has to win and someone has to lose.

20 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

Yes, but when you have better than fair odds you'll win more than you lose, whereas you'll lose more than you win with worse than fair odds.

Plus people do this for fun, so it's actually missing the point to say there has to be a loser.

30 sats \ 7 replies \ @grayruby 5 Oct

I made a bunch of small world series bets. Winner and finalists. Also have a CFB parlay today on the moneyline for a bunch of heavy favourites.

So I limited myself to just one no sweat parlay this weekend in the 49ers game. Mason 40+ yards Conner 25+ yards Purdy 150+ yards

50 sats \ 6 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

Against Arizona, that seems very likely to hit. Are those specifically rushing yards for Conner?

29 sats \ 5 replies \ @grayruby 5 Oct

Yes those are just rushing yards for Conner.

40 sats \ 4 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

It's very low, but that's probably the weak link. If they fall behind by a couple of scores early and it just turns into a shootout.

27 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby 5 Oct

I picked the lowest alt yards for Conner rushing and for Purdy passing. Cards running D has been really bad so 49ers might just rush all game. I expect Purdy will throw for over 150 but might be one of those 180 yard games where 49ers rush the ball 40 times.

And Conner has had success against the Niners but I don't know how much they will be using Kyler in the run game and if they get down a couple scores they might become pass only.

40 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 5 Oct

There are those little forward tosses that are basically handoffs, but count as passes. Maybe Purdy will do a some of those and some forward screen passes that are basically running plays.