Is this the latest reading of the predictions markets? It looks like some of the states that are still in close contention are marked as solidly one or the other. For instance, Minnesota may be in contention because many Minnesotans hugely dislike the governor here. The biggest draw he has is the “newcomers” in Minneapolis and St. Paul who take their marching orders and vote accordingly. His policies and actions and the policies and actions of his allies are really questionable.