China's economic woes deepen as deflationary trends intensify. September data reveals a sharp decline in producer prices, dropping 2.8% year-over-year. This marks two consecutive years of deflation, outpacing August's 1.8% fall and economist predictions.
Consumer prices barely cling to positive territory, rising just 0.4% annually. Core inflation hit a three-year low at 0.1%, signaling persistent weak demand. The property market slump continues to drag on the economy, prompting Beijing to consider further stimulus measures.
China's situation highlights a fundamental weakness in the global fiat currency system. Rising prices are crucial for governments to push debt burdens into the future, and deflation poses a significant threat to this model. With China's real estate market collapse, the country may need to generate unprecedented levels of stimulus and artificial state demand to counteract the deflationary spiral.
And Chinese politicians are reacting to this debacle by announcing new stimulus programs day after day, accelerating step by step, driving the volume of credit ever higher. China will not be able to avoid massively expanding its monetary and fiscal activities and devaluing its currency. The collapse of the real estate market could have been the key to understanding a deflationary shock in the medium term.
Oh, the irony:
“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, Governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some….”
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I am curious to know if their collapse will really effect us. They do hold a lot of our currency, right?
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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @TomK OP 14 Oct
Dont forget the immense trading volume
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Yes, but I imagine the US and other countries could live without chinas junk. You could always move the manufacturing to india.
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I find it so fascinating, how the debt based monetary systems fights to stop deflation.
  1. Deflation is what happens naturally in free markets. But to fiat, deflation is synonymous to doom.
  2. Regular consumers want deflation in goods and services. They want a deflationary doom spiral.
  3. We are taught by the state for 12 years and the money is never mentioned. They go on TV and set the price of money.
Bitcoin should suck the monetary premium stored in sucky money surrogates, like ghost housing and zombie companies.
The current fiat system is working as hard as it can to sustain its vampiric relationship with the slaves by conjuring illusions cast against rocks deep within Plato's cave....
With that being said. I'm an economics noob.
Any corrections to the above are more than welcome.
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Up until recently, China has been exporting deflation because they were inflating internally. Now that they are deflating internally, I suspect that we are in for a round of inflation externally. I guess Lenin’s saying applies to Dengist economies as well as capitalist economies.
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