(Archive.is link for a WSJ article). So it looks like those betting markets have been moved entirely by four bettors. Opinions seem to be divided about whether it's because they're really all-in, or are trying to manipulate opinion (since both would involve the same course of action).
pull down to refresh
21 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 18 Oct
When we saw the big upswing on Kamala last month was it also a small group of bettors moving the market?
Both moves seem highly suspect to me. It's a crypto market. If crypto whales are good at anything it is manipulating markets to make rubes out of retail traders.
reply
40 sats \ 0 replies \ @StillStackinAfterAllTheseYears OP 18 Oct
I don't know the answer to the first, but it wouldn't surprise me. And yeah, any market that can be manipulated by whales is not one I'd trust for accurate predictions.
reply
40 sats \ 0 replies \ @c222ecdcb4 18 Oct
facts
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Turdinthepunchbowl 18 Oct
Wasn't it that those 4 "individuals" all connected? Like it's one person, 4 accounts. I thought someone tracked the funds but I may be mistaken.
reply