It's interesting because I could see this going both ways dependent on the person. Some people might assume others intuitively think the way they think and some people, like myself, assume everyone else thinks contrary to the way I think.
I don't think it is a catch all solution but could be a tool in the tool box. Ultimately, AI will be the best pollster. It will be able to monitor ten thousand data points about each person and in most cases likely be able to predict how and if they will vote.
That's true, but AI will also have an even worse garbage-in-garbage-out problem, because it lacks any ability to think about the results it's getting. There's also no training dataset, since it never gets to learn who you actually voted for.
It will probably do a good job at precinct level, though.
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Whats really amazing is that he had the confidence to wager 30m on the opinion of his neighbors. Tell me how many of you actually trust your neighbors enough to actually bet that much?
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zero trust in my neighbors
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41 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 8 Nov
You live in California. Might as well be Canada with nicer weather.
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I wouldnt have the balls to wager 30m on the opinion of my neighbors. Lets be real.
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