45 sats \ 2 replies \ @StillStackinAfterAllTheseYears 13 Nov \ on: Markets are pricing in a 1/20 chance Trump will be assasinated before Jan 20th Politics_And_Law
The 1.6% can't be for assassination, since Vance gets inaugurated in that case.
write
preview
21 sats \ 0 replies \ @StillStackinAfterAllTheseYears 13 Nov
But 1.6 say Harris gets inaugurated, according to that. That's literally impossible from an assassination (it can only happen with some extreme shenanigans by the Dems and the electoral college)
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @zuspotirko OP 13 Nov
Doesn't make sense. If Vance gets inaugurated then Trump doesn't get inaugurated. Therefore the 5% would win their bet.
reply