A systemic case can be made that the grey swans circling above us are harbingers of transformative change. What is a grey swan? A grey swan is an event that is known and possible to happen, but which is assumed to be unlikely to occur. The term derives from Nassim Taleb’s black swan theory, which describes an event that is unlikely but unknown.
The explanation machine is already spewing out reams of reasons why Syria’s dynasty collapsed practically overnight after enduring for decades in a tumultuous region riven by war and conflict. What’s strikingly difficult to explain neatly and coherently is how everything is forever until it is no more. Are there causal factors that are common to all such sudden collapses of regimes that appeared to be if not forever, then demonstrably durable?
There are too many things suddenly going wrong in society. It looks to be systemic at this point and we can change it if we have the will. Many of the problems are caused by us and almost all of the rest are caused by THEM, our overlords. Is this something new? No, it has happened before and will happen again.