Regardless, the path to peace lies in return to realpolitik in Europe, that is, a return to political principles based on practical, not value-based or ideological, considerations. Essentially, there are six facts successful peace negotiations in Ukraine need to be based on: 1. In all non-nuclear military scenarios Russia will emerge as the victor in the Ukraine conflict. 2. Russia is unlikely to seek occupation of all of Ukraine. 3. Negotiations will have to fulfil (almost) all of Kremlin’s publicly declared goals, i.e. neutrality, limited military, territorial loss, non-membership in NATO but perhaps membership of the EU. 4. A credible force must be assigned to establish and monitor the line of ceasefire. 5. Due to a lack of mutual trust, all parties must commit to pre-agreement acts of de-escalation. 6. Post-war collapse of Ukraine must be prevented to avoid widespread and well-armed terrorism/banditry in the surrounding areas. Collapse will commence unless all parties commit to support Ukraine pre-agreement.
Most of these conditions for peace sound reasonable, but will anybody negotiate them before a nuke hits us? Biden is looking for a worldwide burning of he populations, by his actions. However, the peace has to be struck by both sides agreeing to the terms. With the way things are going now, I don’t know if Russia would take all of the terms as stated. They don’t want hostiles on their borders, unlike Murrica.