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32 sats \ 9 replies \ @gmd 28 Dec \ on: AI and the value of knowledge work culture
It's terrifying- AI is commoditizing intelligence. Recent paper on o1 -preview- showed superhuman performance compared to physicians like me on difficult diagnostic cases. These models are not even specifically trained to medicine. Now o3 model is demonstrating superhuman levels of coding and math.
We are not ready for the magnitude of job disruption coming all at once. Stack sats while you can, massive deflation is coming.
hopefully, it will be something that can be leveraged to cut out the bloat of admin staff and assist docs in diagnosis. in the UK , the number of docs hasn't changed much, the admin staff numbers keep going up, the kicker is , the system is shitter and less efficient than ever before
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I have heard and read UK has and will continue to have a brain drain: smart doctors immigrate elsewhere
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it's a logical consequence yeah, most just move from the NHS to working private and making a ton more money and having control over their schedule.
funny thing is, I'm in Bulgaria and it reminds me of here, basically you pay for private for everything, if you want it free, you have to wait forever etc (apart from prescription meds). fortunalty, unlike the UK, private medical care is very , very affordable, ditto for private blood tests etc
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If you want it "free", you have to wait "forever"
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When you say "private", is it private insurance or people pay with cash, no insurance?
Thanks for sharing
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it's a mix, i, for example, have had no medical insurance for a decade (i look after my own health, run blood tests etc), if i want to see a specialist, i pay out of pocket
there's also private insurance, but they don't always pay out and, if i want to see a specialist, i need a referral first. I'm not interested in waiting. most private docs cost 20 euro for an appointment, you can get ultrasounds and xrays also for like 20 euros, so it's not worth paying premiums
as of recently i have been enrolled in the local health system, not by choice, but because it happens automatically after getting permanent residence and i suppose if i break a bone, I'll be fixed for free or something, or for cheap.
but there are nuances, my dad needs a cataract operation and he will get the op for free, but will have to pay for the actual lenses, which will be maybe 1000 euro.
but in the UK, i see people just paying out of pocket or going private more , which is what happens when the 'free' healthcare begins to basically fail or just not be as good as it was
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NYT had a headline: ChatGPT is better at diagnosing than MD
I would say AI is commoditizing knowledge rather than intelligence but I quibble
Realistically, what does the disruption look like though? How does it play out?
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