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🐦 Market Explanation for Beginners🐦 Market Explanation for Beginners

Market Question:
Is the current bird flu strain man-made?

What does this mean?
Some scientists and experts, like Dr. Peter McCullough, suggest that the bird flu strain spreading right now might have been created in a lab through a process called gain-of-function research. This market is about predicting whether official sources or scientific studies will confirm that this is true.

• If it turns out to be true, the market resolves YES.
• If no proof emerges by the end of 2025, the market resolves NO.

🔮 What is a Prediction Market?🔮 What is a Prediction Market?

A prediction market is a place where people bet on the outcome of real-world events – like elections, sports games, or scientific discoveries. Instead of guessing randomly, participants use news, research, and analysis to make their bets. The market price reflects what the crowd thinks the chance of something happening is.

Example:

• Imagine a market asking, “Will it rain tomorrow?”
• If many people bet YES, the price of "YES" shares goes up, showing the crowd believes rain is likely.
• If most people bet NO, the "NO" price rises, signaling less belief in rain.

If you bet correctly, you win money. If you're wrong, you lose.

Why use prediction markets?

• Crowds are smart! – By pooling the knowledge of many people, prediction markets often forecast events better than individual experts.
• You can profit from being right – If you spot trends or know something others don’t, you can earn by betting early.

👉 This market lets you bet on whether bird flu was man-made, based on upcoming discoveries or official confirmations.