On the other hand:
  • Deflationary/hard economic systems encourage to consume less but higher quality. This could make transactions fewer but bigger.
  • Atm the Lightning Network transacts a lot of gimmicks like sats every minute of podcast playback or play2earn yield of a few hundred every time. Every day economy of humans has bigger transactions
  • Institutions are not on Lightning yet. Big corporations and institutions will push average transaction size higher.
You know how much junk people buy? Yeah all of that useless crap will be cut out.
Well yes because LN is able to. That Doesn’t affect normal/other transactions/purchases. Again things priced in fiat will trend down in terms of sats until a certain point.
Well some. River is putting out average transactions of 47$. So you can convert that to sats and extrapolate trends from it. Institutions will either use onchain or liquid for fat sat transactions. So most of those will be off LN. I’m sure we will get an average size much larger than a median size. I can’t imagine what large corporations would be using LN for other than to sell and pay employees with.
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