pull down to refresh
100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 16 Jan \ on: Understanding Set Markets in Prediction Markets oracle
This is really interesting. I'm thinking about how some outcomes might be linked to each other while others are independent.
An example would be player props for games. One player's scoring doesn't directly affect anyone else's, but there are only so many points that might be scored, so they aren't totally independent. If people are taking the overs on a few guys' point totals, the market may want to adjust the odds downwards on the others.
That's a lot trickier than the mutually exclusive multi markets you have up already.
Yes, it sounds very tricky. The best way to understand it is that, set markets are nothing new, but simple YES/NO markets grouped together. For example: https://beta.predyx.com/market/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
reply