So, here is the point: if the mighty US Empire, at the height of its world hegemony, could not honour the anchor of the feted postwar financial system, that is the fixed conversion rate, what gives us the confidence to imagine that a private outfit, such as Tether or Binance, can do it sustainably? Nothing! Indeed, logic dictates the opposite because of the structure of the incentives built into Trump’s strategic crypto reserve. Think about it: as more dollars go into stablecoins, US Treasury yields are lowered and the issuers of stablecoins have a stronger incentive to invest in less stable assets. Indeed, they may even risk issuing additional tokens without backing them with additional dollar-denominated safe assets. The more this goes on, the greater the reliance of the US government, and of the global monetary system, on privateers whose incentives are to act less responsibly. Does this classic case of moral hazard remind you of anything? If not, I would recommend watching The Big Short again.
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37 sats \ 0 replies \ @028559d218 19 Mar
I think what the administration is considering (out of a last ditch effort to reduce the national debt and deficit) is the promotion of US dollar stablecoins. So the article has that part right.
However... the bit about having a 'government reserve' of stablecoins... I hadn't read that anywhere. Government reserve of btc and a stockpile of other tokens (that almost noone uses) that's what we already know.
But including stablecoins... that's a new one.
The other thing is the 'pressure' on other countries to divest from dollars (cash?) and instead move into stablecoins?
- "Trump wants to bully Tokyo into either investing in the US or dumping most of their dollars into the money markets (thus driving the dollar down) while also not converting them into euros or renminbi (which would risk strengthening the reserve status of rival currencies). What could do the trick? How about convincing, or strong-arming, the Japanese to swap their dollars for crypto?"
Then the author implies that this is about Tokyo moving the dollars cash into dollars stablecoins allowing Tether to buy lots of US debt, driving down the interest rates on US debt.
This isn't anything new though... P Ryan was talking about this years ago and without some kind of strategy... debt servicing costs will just continue to rise.
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