SUMMARY OF FED DECISION
- Fed leaves rates unchanged for 2nd straight meeting
- Fed says uncertainty around economy has increased
- Median forecast shows 50 bps of rate cuts in 2025
- Fed to slow balance sheet runoff beginning April 1st
- Fed sharply reduces 2025 growth projections
- Fed marks up their 2025 inflation forecast
Read the full Statement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250319a.htm
Biggest news is slowing of QT.
To me, the biggest news it the median 50bp rate cut prediction, because that's only priced at 10% at Predyx.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025
For me the biggest news is ..
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Is 2.4M in profits a sign or a result?
You're the writer, you better know. Who we're to say anything?
On the side note, it's both.
I'll give you a peak behind the curtain: I don't write my own books and I certainly don't read them.
Isn't it degeneracy again? C'mon man don't tell us that someone else works for you so you stay on SN.
When you have a hugely successful brand like mine, people just want to put your name on stuff.
You should hire RBD to be your ghostwriter.
Why? People keep writing books for me for free.
It's impressive but let's be honest, a good chunk of that came prior to liquidity bot.
A good chunk came as my reward for dishing out vigilante justice!
Also, a lot came from the 49ers faceplanting last year.
Well you won't have that benefit next season.
Because you learned your lesson?
Yes, I saw him eating up all in the Champions Trophy as well. He didn't even leave a bite for both of us.
I bought most of those after you. I just bought a lot more.
He got in first on the Super Bowl market, so February 2026 is going to be a big payday for @grayruby.
I accept it. I'm leaning from you. Unlike you I'm putting my entire energy on each word from the book.
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Wow. He has two books now.
Stacker Sports publishing department must be killing it.
Seems underpriced but I could see a situation where it is 0 or 25bp or much more than 50bp if the economy goes sideways. I didn't even know about this market. I might have to make a couple bets.
I also don't see 2 rate cuts coming. 25 bp is all we'll see.
A year of economic turmoil is a long time and making so many changes could trigger a pretty large correction at some point.
Still, I also think 25 is more likely than 50.
I had been in on 25bps already, because 0 seemed very overpriced at almost 60%.
The Fed makes multiple revisions to their 2025 economic data projections.
Overall the Fed sees higher inflation and a weaker economy.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting, highlighting the increased economic uncertainty. The median projection suggests a cumulative cut of 50 bps in 2025, while the downward revision of growth and the increase in the inflation estimate indicate a more restrictive macroeconomic environment. In addition, the Fed announced a slowdown in the pace of balance sheet reduction starting April 1, signaling a more accommodative stance regarding liquidity in the financial system.