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0 sats \ 3 replies \ @Solomonsatoshi 8 Apr \ on: The White House admits the triffin dilemma is real econ
This is a good explanation of Trumps tariffs.
The tariffs restore short term viability to the USD reserve currency status by improving US govt revenue and reducing the volume of imports.
It comes at the cost of a radical increase in cost of consumption for US consumers- the least well off will be hit hardest- but it will also spur more domestic production even though that production will be performed at a higher cost than other competing nations could have provided.
The underlying decline of US productive capacity competitiveness is unlikely to be solved but strategically, dependence on foreign supply chains will be reduced.
The tariffs could be the beginning of a process where the US steps back from and avoids default and loss of its privileged status, but that remains to be seen- it could conversely open the way for China to draw in closer the rest of the world to its demonstrably more productive economy.
China has made no secret of its ambition to build and operate alternative trade payments protocols to the USD/SWIFT hegemony.
It already provisions these shadow banking trade payments rails to N.Kores, Iran and Russia- and with mBridge digital payments protocol appearing ready to expand its scope and with Saudi Arabia joining both mBridge and BRICS, the end of the USD 'petrodollar' hegemony could be imminent.
Trump is fighting a rearguard defensive strategy to minimise losses and perhaps retain US wealth, empire and hegemony- will it succeed or fail?
Who knows?
At the very least it puts the issues that have long required attention on the table and forces us to confront them- as much as many would prefer to remain in the delusional US exceptionalists paradigm.
Dude I read most of this 'document'. The White House or whoever wrote it is nuts.
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Agree many of the the assertions and assumptions Steve Miran makes are hyperbole and heavily slanted logic and bias but that is the rhetoric of the Trump administration.
Within that framing there is the core truth that US power and wealth is today based upon US hegemony over trade payments and financial markets backed by military force and threat and that that hegemony is now under threat due to the accumulated debt resulting from the last 50 years of trade and fiscal deficits.
That the truth is wrapped in a veneer of dishonest rhetoric and outright lies is because the US voter needs that veneer for the narrative to be viable.
Most US voters are not going to support a narrative which admits they have squandered their significant economic and strategic advantage over the last 30-50 years and now face the rise of China with an economy and monetary and financial systems that are close to insolvency.
The rhetoric of entitlement that Miran wraps the truth in is simply reflective of the sense of entitlement US citizens have come to have after more than 30 years of US exceptionalism and many more years of US imperialism.
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What are 'these citizens' going to do... when the robots and AIs seriously come for their jobs? Ban AI?
And what are the citizens going to do when the tariffs (if they actually come to pass) in the US increase the prices of phones, electronics, and shoes like... 25-50%?
Americans in large part pay for the tariffs so while people are tired of inflation, prices are going to go up faster. And the 'reciprocal tariffs' hurt US exports so who all is going to buy the exports???
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