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Howdy Degens!
Come closer and listen very carefully. (I've a better strategy than #942359) The Sats are flinging in the open on Predyx Champions League Market (https://beta.predyx.com/market/champions-league-winner). But beware you gotta use degen method or fall on your mouth. If you're sure and swear by degens' God 'Loki', here it is...
  • Put equal amounts of "Yes" sats on each of the remaining teams in the league.
  • Leave them there till June 1 and you will jackpot 10 to 15% extra sats.
  • Worship them on April 29 and May 6 to dig bonus.
The Final Four
  • Barcelona
  • PSG
  • Arsenal
  • Inter Milan
That's not all!
  • Dig some Sats by Putting "No" Shares on Rest of the Teams.
Still waiting?? Go and dig as much as you can..
I rebalanced my champions league bets earlier today.
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Always better to be early. I just wanted to tell you guys about some free sats.
On freebitcoin, I again made more than 2k easy sats by putting my passively lying 10 k on Arsenal
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Yep, there's a lot of juice to squeeze still. I haven't wanted to lock up sats (even though it's a guaranteed win) on driving the eliminated teams to 0.
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This is highly unexpected of you.
You're right about the lockup time though. It's around 1 and a half month. But I've done away with my part. I thought you might as well be interested.
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I might still do it. The thing is, the two approaches you describe are equivalent. You can buy the "no"s directly or you can shrink the "no" probabilities by buying up "yes"s on the remaining teams.
The first approach makes more sense, since they're eliminated, but it's also not as fun, because there's no more tracking and trading to do.
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I've bought 10k shares for each of the qualifying teams and also 10k No shares of Real Madrid.
Even if I don't track and trade further I'll end up winning 2000 Sats. My total invested sats are 18k, I'll get 20k. (All in approximation) That makes it a profit of 20% Sats if I be passive. But I won't be. I'll sell the yes shares for whatever I can for the teams I suspect not advancing towards the final on June 1. So I'll end up with much more (daggers drawn.... Sorry fingers crossed)
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Alright, you convinced me. I needed more inbound liquidity anyway.
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I'll cherish it as my achievement. 😊
I was wooooondering yesterday, as I watched Inter crush Bayern... ...why, of course there are Predyx markets on it
@remindme in 11 days
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Welcome welcome! Yes there are markets on it and the strategy as I mentioned is still on. (Maybe a little less % now.)
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where is the yield coming from?
What's with the probability sum for all four higher than 100...?
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where is the yield coming from?
It's a multi option market so the yield comes from the disqualified teams. As you can see there that all disqualified teams still have some positive rate, however very low. But all of them add up to the yield for the qualified teams.
Yes, there will only be one winner but right now even if you bet on all four semifinalist teams, you'll end up winning on your total investment.
Read more here. #945643
Also, id suggest you go to the market and calculate by yourself. It'll be clear how it works.
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yeah, just did.
It's a tad fishy; arbitrage shouldn't be this easy.
But I just paid (275+272+134+219)=900 sats for four 1,000-sats contracts... one of them is going to pay of, and give me a nice, juicy 11% return
Is it because there's so much liquidity in the bet that arb purchases haven't moved the odds price?
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Yeah. Liquidity + some bets on the disqualified teams.
You will get 11% for sure. If you sell your shares for the would be disqualifiers midway through the semis, you can even win more.