Eric Schmidt: "Vast Majority Of Programmers Will Be Replaced With AI In A Year" \ stacker news ~devs

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Eric Schmidt: "Vast Majority Of Programmers Will Be Replaced With AI In A Year"officechai.com/ai/vast-majority-of-programmers-will-be-replaced-with-ai-in-a-year-eric-schmidt/

1105 sats \ 33 comments \ @k00b 19 Apr devs

He makes these predictions in this interview:

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88 sats \ 0 replies \ @ken 20 Apr

Vast majority of Schmidts will be replaced by AI

302 sats \ 0 replies \ @kr 20 Apr

Elon has made similar predictions about driverless cars for 11-12 years now, and the lesson I've learned in watching these predictions unfold is that the edge cases are really hard.

I wonder if the same thing happens with programming. It's easy for AI to generate standard templates using well understood languages, but how do you effectively prompt it to build something new?

125 sats \ 0 replies \ @south_korea_ln 19 Apr

Not sure about the real programming world, but for sure not in the academic programming one. Admittedly, it's maybe not the same, as the coding is just the tool and not the end goal. The AI is probably a net positive for the physicists who were already good. I'm now using algorithms of CS that i never thought of using, getting to the final objective faster and using a straighter road, but I don't see the AI actually getting there by itself. Let's see what the future brings. I still see it struggling too much with actual reasoning. I don't like to call it reasoning yet as that's not what it is actually doing under the hood. Anyhow. Let's see~~

How long before you think you can tell the AI: go through all the issues on my GitHub project and propose PRs for each one. Make sure to follow the conventions from our codebase and follow the style from @ek and myself. We won't have time to review it so ask the other AI agent to take care of it.

198 sats \ 2 replies \ @franzap 20 Apr

Is there a "remind me in one year" bot here on SN? So we can all laugh at how his silly prediction did not materialize?

43 sats \ 0 replies \ @k00b OP 20 Apr

Yep @remindme

Rules are in the bio

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @franzap 20 Apr

@remindme in 1 year

33 sats \ 2 replies \ @BlokchainB 19 Apr

So does this mean k00b no longer have to do pull requests and @ek can stop reminding me to push code every day?

50 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 20 Apr

I see, you’re not remembering your dreams

21 sats \ 0 replies \ @BlokchainB 20 Apr

I do. Just life gets in the way

33 sats \ 4 replies \ @WeAreAllSatoshi 19 Apr

Doubt

100 sats \ 3 replies \ @k00b OP 20 Apr

In many ways predictions are just people saying aloud what they want to happen.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 20 Apr

Because they have nothing to lose

Nobody is going to remember or care if they were wrong but if they turn out to be right, everybody is going to think they are a genius

0 sats \ 1 reply \ @WeAreAllSatoshi 20 Apr

I think you’re absolutely correct. I have no context on the speaker in the video.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @k00b OP 20 Apr

Used to be CEO of Google

102 sats \ 0 replies \ @SpaceHodler 20 Apr

The AI used for coding would really have to be self-hostable to protect the privacy of the code being generated.

14 sats \ 0 replies \ @JesseJames 20 Apr

Bold statement to get likes? lol Not in a 5-10 years until we get to real AGI, AI is no intelligence, it is a prediction utility, no better than your stock market guy... Does it help? Hell yeah, but to replace people? no way Jose, not in a loong time.

16 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 19 Apr

That's a bold claim.

100 sats \ 14 replies \ @Dkryptoenth 19 Apr

A bold claim indeed @OT, but I won't be surprised if the programming world gets @k00b and replaced with AI, even in @south_korea_ln AI is already taking over and it's best no one doubts it cos @WeAreAllSatoshi and with Satoshi, everything is possible.

120 sats \ 13 replies \ @OT 19 Apr

This reply is exactly why AI is unlikely to replace the vast majority of programmers in the next few years.