By Dale Steinreich
William Nordhaus coined the term “Political Business Cycle” a half-century ago. The idea was that government authorities, particularly the central bank, would manipulate the economy to correspond with election cycles, a practice that continues to this day.
Some neat modelling leads to the following hypothetical outcome:
I would like to add that Nordhaus' theory ran smack dab into the Public Choice school. Although, I could consider Nordhaus' theory a forerunner of the Public Choice people, Buchanan, et. al. went much further into the examination of how the bureaucracy and politicians do their magic works to the economies of the world. Also the demise of the Phillips curve due to massive stagflation of the '70s didn't help the theory much at all. I have to agree with the author that we would have looked much more like the EU countries had we followed his suggestions, happy we didn't.
It's a good example of how having interesting insights doesn't mean someone has good solutions.
I like when people try to investigate the foundations of "our" political system, even if they don't do it quite right.
The closest to being really good ideas and good insights with great solutions would have been Rothbard's investigations and writings in history as well as his economic extension of Mises' theory. He combined a sharp eye for historical facts and theory with economic theory. He went back into English law and politics too.