Wow @denlillaapan is finally getting serious in the realm of Predictions Markets. Welcome to the club!

In the words of Tarek Mansour founder of Kalshi: Predictions markets are the future of financial markets. If you read between the lines, "the future of financial markets." that means its an emerging tech/mechanism that is out there to disrupt the traditional financial markets.

There will be a lot learning and exploration in the realm of anything that's "just emerging". Think of internet between 1996-2000, it was an emerging tech then, and look at what it has become now. Top ivy leagues are now offering formal courses in Prediction Markets. People are taking up thesis and research on Prediction Markets for their grad and under-grad degrees. A lot of R&D is being done.

So if you feel a little uncertain that you don't understand PMs very well as compared to masters like Dr. @Undisciplined, you're not alone - even I feel that way too.

But at the same time, you're way ahead of the crowd. You're embracing PMs in its infancy stage - just imagine where you'll be in an year or so. Top of curve.

Some wise man once told me, "He who has started has half finished!"