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We show that laws mandating use of child car safety seats significantly reduce birth rates, as many cars cannot fit three child seats in the back seat. Women with two children younger than their state’s age mandate have a lower annual birth probability of .73 percentage points. This effect is limited to births of third children, households with access to a car, and households with a male present, where both front seats are likely to be occupied. We estimate that these laws prevented fatalities of 57 children in car crashes in 2017 but reduced total births by 8,000 that year and have decreased the total by 145,000 since 1980.
122 sats \ 2 replies \ @nout 18h
It would be very cool if each new law comes with
  • a specific metric that it is trying to improve and a specific target ("by how much")
  • an expiry date (if the metric doesn't hit the target by some date/year, the law is automatically revoked)
  • a list of potential unintended consequences (anything that came up in the process)
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They acted like they were doing something like that in Seattle, with the minimum wage increases that started a few years ago.
However, when they didn’t get the results they wanted, they just shopped around for economists until they found some who would give them the results they wanted.
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Metrics could be gamed by and expiry date - now THAT would be nice...
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75 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsMoro 19h
holy shit...ive always thought this anecdotally (especially as a parent), but to even attempt to put a number on it just, if realistic, is astounding to consider to me
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11 sats \ 0 replies \ @kepford 20h
Inflation as contraception is more like it.
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Wow...
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