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Mr. Cass has a competitive advantage in annoying people... or, in this case: cloaking controversial, contrarian opinions in some pretty sane arguments.
I don't have a good way to refute them... but luckily I don't have to so I'll just enjoy the show:

"The bet on tariffs is that the free market, even at more limited domestic scale, can deliver better outcomes than a global market dominated by state-subsidised national champions."

The error contained in [the free-market/comparative advantage critique of Trump tariffs] is the same one that free-traders have been making for a generation: imagining a global economy that operates like the friendly free market on the economist’s blackboard in which competitors sharpen one another and capital flows to its best use. Productivity rises, prices fall, everyone flourishes. The free-trader is nostalgic for a bygone era when a developing country could offer its labour at a discount, subsidise its producers, and sell the resulting output to wealthier customers in other places.
That's not what we have, says Mr. Cass
the global marketplace is dominated by government-built national champions. Capital flows towards the biggest subsidies and the most exploitable labour. Productivity falls, in the US anyway, where the typical factory requires more labour than a decade ago to produce the same output.
Instead, he thinks, with tariffs putting up economic walls toward the rest of the world, the American internal market can flourish. And because it's so big and so dominant, per Trump, other players will come to America and build it all here. Plus source their material inputs here... (since, somehow, there's vast amounts of unused resources around??)
the US, when its market was much smaller and trade volumes much lower, spawned most of last century’s major innovations. Progress has been much worse in the globalised era when free trade undermined the free market.
Both of those statements can be true without it making tariffs the obvious fix, or the free international trade being the reason progress has been slow/bad.

Worth reading, worth reflecting on. This is what one might call an economically literature steelman case of tariffs. Whatcha think, econ Stackers?

non-paywall here: https://archive.md/JebZa
I think he's not wrong... Chinese producers are heavily state subsidized to an extent that I'm not sure we can even measure, because of how opaque their data is.
Mankiw actually talks about this in his Principles textbook. He says that (paraphrasing), "If other countries want to subsidize their producers, who are we to complain? It just means more cheap goods for us."
But IMO that is such a short-sighted and consumption oriented way of thinking that really reduces humanity down to consumption machines. I think people care about things like fair play, and being productive, not just consumptive. Mainstream economists need to rethink their model of what makes people satisfied.
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I’ve commented a few times that one of my trade professors told me that the best estimate for economic loss under full autarky was only 3%.
The US does have vast resources laying around and can fairly competitively make most things.
I’m reasonably confident that a free domestic market under autarky would be more productive than the status quo.
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Productivity falls, in the US anyway, where the typical factory requires more labour than a decade ago to produce the same output.
Does he mean "unit labor costs"? https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ULCMFG
Because "output per hour" is flat-ish: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/OPHMFG
So I guess he means "labor became more expensive when measured in USD"? If we were to measure it in sats, it'd look different. Is it possible that the issue was caused by an internal factor (ZIRP) rather than an external one?
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quite possibly. I'm not sure what he means, exactly... currency-infused competitive disadvantage or something?
Not sure how internal ZIRP was. Almost every country ran monetary policy with a similar outcome
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If everyone else was doing ZIRP first and the Fed was forced to because all the other printers were doing brrr, then yes. That's not how I perceived it - rather the contrary - during those years but I may very well be observing it wrong.
However, ZIRP causing it or not, i still find it likely that such wage increase has an internal cause rather than an external one, but I need to do more research for that.
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