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7 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 16 May \ on: Can Anything Logically Be Done About Fertility Collapse? econ
There are so many potentially offsetting factors:
- People might get healthier, which would be similar to having more people around, from a productivity standpoint. Plus, that would decrease mortality and thereby offset population decline.
- Technological innovations might make people sufficiently more productive that there is no decline in economic output, despite having fewer workers.
- There might be a cultural transition back towards having lots of kids, which could get us back on track within 20 years.
- Economic growth in the "Global South" might more than offset the decline in "Developed World".
Ultimately, those who have the strongest biological drive to reproduce will be the ones reproducing and this will correct itself.