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The Amsterdam Stock Exchange kicked off in 1602. Four centuries later, we still call it “investing” but what if it’s more like playing a very old complex game?
Here’s what blows my mind:
✓ Most short term price moves aren’t about fundamentals they’re about emotion: fear, hype, FOMO. ✓ Retail traders aren’t trading against people anymore they’re up against bots and HFT algorithms executing in microseconds. ✓ Stocks rise or fall not based on reality but on expectations of reality. It's not earnings, it's vibes. ✓ Most stocks don’t return profits directly (dividends) they sell narratives about future value. ✓ Those who win aren’t necessarily the smartest they’re the ones who understand it’s all a probabilistic, sentiment driven game.
So my question is:
Are we investing or just simulating rational behavior inside a highly gamified financial engine?
If the stock market is a simulation, who’s the player… and who’s played?
All solid questions
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The more you look at it, the more it feels like strategy, psychology, and timing matter more than fundamentals.
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Yup you are correct you didn’t even mention the bailouts and mal investment that truly makes the market detached from reality.
The fact the SEC exists is kind of a joke. They don’t protect investors from bad stocks at all. Then again if the SEC wasn’t regulating then we could see in the stock market what we see with alt coins.
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Either way, reality takes a back seat to narrative.
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Thanks means a lot coming from a higher level stacker like you.
0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Riberet 8h
Today, narratives and expectations weigh more than fundamentals.
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That's so on point.
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