The Amsterdam Stock Exchange kicked off in 1602. Four centuries later, we still call it “investing” but what if it’s more like playing a very old complex game?
Here’s what blows my mind:
✓ Most short term price moves aren’t about fundamentals they’re about emotion: fear, hype, FOMO.
✓ Retail traders aren’t trading against people anymore they’re up against bots and HFT algorithms executing in microseconds.
✓ Stocks rise or fall not based on reality but on expectations of reality. It's not earnings, it's vibes.
✓ Most stocks don’t return profits directly (dividends) they sell narratives about future value.
✓ Those who win aren’t necessarily the smartest they’re the ones who understand it’s all a probabilistic, sentiment driven game.
So my question is:
Are we investing or just simulating rational behavior inside a highly gamified financial engine?
If the stock market is a simulation, who’s the player… and who’s played?