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0 sats \ 6 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 19 May \ parent \ on: New Sports Bet Request: Norway Chess, US vs India; Carlsen vs Gukesh! Stacker_Sports
Lovely, made some bets!
Can I get greedy and ask for a Magnus-Gukesh head-to-head result, too?
Magnus-Gukesh head-to-head
h2h will be easier:
"Magnus vs Gukesh: Who wins?"
Magnus: YES/NO
Draw: YES/NO
Gukesh: YES/NO
Please give me exact date-time for the game/match.
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I don't think they have released the exact dates yet, i.e. who plays who in which round. (https://norwaychess.no/en/schedule-and-ticket-information/)
But they're playing two classical games against each other in the tournament.
(And then if those games are drawn, they'll play Rapid armaggedon tie-break; regulations are weird:)
We could do what you proposed, only consider the classical games and with "best of two"
"Magnus vs Gukesh: Who wins?" Magnus: YES/NO Draw: YES/NO Gukesh: YES/NO
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so,
- resolves to Magnus YES if Magnus wins one game and draws the second; or wins both games
- resolves to draw YES if both classical games are drawn
- resolves to Gukesh YES if Gukesh wins one game and draws the second; or wins both.
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Excellent resolutions criteria. I just refined it with AI, let me know, if this is ok:
🧩 Resolution Criteria
This market is based on the outcome of the two classical games between Magnus Carlsen and Gukesh Dommaraju in the specified event.
The market will resolve as follows:
-
✅ Magnus = YES
If Magnus Carlsen wins at least one of the two classical games and does not lose either.
(Win + Draw or Win + Win) -
✅ Draw = YES
If both classical games are drawn. -
✅ Gukesh = YES
If Gukesh Dommaraju wins at least one of the two classical games and does not lose either.
(Win + Draw or Win + Win)
If neither of the above outcomes is satisfied (e.g., each player wins one game), this market will resolve to “Invalid.”
Only the classical games between the two players will be considered. Rapid, blitz, or tiebreaker games (if any) are excluded.
The primary resolution source will be https://www.chess.com and official event reporting. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of ambiguity.
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oh right... I didn't consider that they would win one game each haha. Pretty unlikely
You could kind of shove that into the "draw" resolution too, since it'd be a tie between them: 1-1.