- Consumers’ expectations for U.S. inflation in the next five years rose to 4.6% in May, the highest level since March 1991.
- One key driver of this increase is the tariffs on major trading partners, including Canada, Mexico, and China.
- Despite the recent trade war de-escalation between the U.S. and China, economists also see higher prices ahead.
In May 2025, consumers’ five-year U.S. inflation expectations reached their highest level in 34 years, according to the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers.