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This is a honker of a PDF. I recommend jumping to page 44 for the conclusion, then going to the sections you find more interesting.
Recent announcements of quantum computing advances have brought new attention to Bitcoin’s preparations for a post-quantum world. This report has examined how quantum computing intersects with Bitcoin's cryptographic foundations, the specific threats posed by cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs), and the potential solutions to maintain Bitcoin's security in a post-quantum environment. Our analysis covers the full spectrum of considerations, from Bitcoin's ECC-based transaction signature vulnerabilities and the threat of quantum mining, to technical proposals to introduce PQC and migrate quantum-vulnerable funds. We highlight the key philosophical challenge of whether vulnerable coins should be rendered unspendable ("burn") or allowed to remain retrievable by quantum attackers ("steal"). The report concludes with a proposed strategy and timelines for Bitcoin's successful transition to quantum resistance, designed to accommodate both current projections and the possibility of a significantly accelerated quantum breakthrough.
This looks amazing. I scanned through parts but didn't see if this is the Chaincode, that does dev education, etc.? If so, very cool use of their platform. I love seeing amnascent ecosystem where complex issues are summarized and presented. Such important work.
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It's the Chaincode. They do research in addition to education. I guess like universities they pay smart people to do research with the condition they school up the next generation.
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33 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 27 May
There goes my reading time for the week
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if Bitcoin goes quantum-resistant, do miners need to go crazy with their computers to keep the network safe?
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From the mining section summary:
The quantum threat to Bitcoin mining via Grover’s algorithm appears limited by physical and economic constraints. Quantum miners would face disadvantages including longer computation times, limited parallelization benefits, and substantially higher capital costs. Research indicates that quantum mining would remain economically impractical even with significant advances in quantum hardware, as the theoretical speedup from Grover’s algorithm is insufficient to overcome the efficiency gap and lack of parallelization compared to specialized classical ASICs. This suggests mining security may prove significantly more resilient to quantum advances than transaction signature security.
If quantum mining does become viable, however, there’s the potential for correlated fork events if quantum miners adopt aggressive mining strategies, which could lead to attackers with less than half of the network's hash rate being in a position to execute 51% attacks. And if quantum mining becomes the dominant means of mining on the network, the quantum superlinearity problem could drive extreme centralization, concentrating mining power among just a few operators.
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all this may be closer than we think
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I meant to share this as a link post, but I already boosted it. Apologies.
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