pull down to refresh
Not easy or quick to be sure, the number of nasty selloffs in markets over recent years are indicative of the restructuring having a bumpy landing. Weeks where decades happen come every few months. Likely still a ways to go.
Fiscal stimulus is not an economic boom
Wages declining against cost of living is not coming out of a recession
COVID was a natsec operation to soft-decouple from China and begin re-shoring
You can't have "growth" if you make less stuff
Tech stuff today isn't recycled ad-tech that's consumer stimulative, its efficiency gains thats production stimulative. Supply side vs. Demand side.
We've been wringing out fiscal stimulus since 22, ffs Bitcoin and the Russell are basically flat over the last year. PE's are down. New jobs are being created in the private sector as opposed to public. There's nothing to correct, this is the healing stage.
Globalists hate healing though, I wouldn't rule out a dump caused by another fabricated black swan either in the form of going hot with China or a junkie withdrawal that manifests as a global debt crisis that US ultimately comes out better for it.
Yea I think the lack of framework is because of everyone using a different yard stick, a strong dollar compared to other fiats is not at odds with a weak dollar to devalue the debt.
Devaluing the debt is also not necessarily inflationary. New dollar issuance can still increase, but increase less in rate compared as a percentage of growth.
If we double the national debt in 10 years, but wages are 3x higher, and deficits are a lower percentage of GDP, apples to apples that's a debt reduction.... which he also gets to saying.
I'm very intrigued by Bessent's talk about the SLR, the money printing and fiscal stimmies we've become accustom to are over, banks being able to treat treasuries as dollars effectively monetizes the debt but also allows it to be destroyed over time rather than with injections of velocity. I can only assume that's being slow-walked as they wring the system dry and adjust interest rates without a big shock.
Still the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile
This is the Triffin Dilemma at work, US has been sacrificed structurally to keep the global system afloat, which just delays an even bigger catastrophe.
Stands to reason it takes decades for the natsec apparatus to respond and turn it around, amidst powerful globalist forces resisting it.
when you point to a NIP 05 domain in your profile, don't you have to sign that
Yea, not clear what this solves... if the nip 05 response at the domain matches the pub that signed the kind 0 then there's nothing more to prove
Only problem I see with nip05 is clients probably need to detect if their nip05 has been rugpulled by the domain so they can update their kind 0
"quantum hardening"
Since there is no Quantum, hardening is just using new - and likely backdoored -encryption standards being pushed by the IC via NIST.
what's this about frozen coins
Lopp's BIP that would do exactly that seems to have overwhelming support on the Core repo... where dissenters are getting banned or their posts ghost edited.
Saylor on the quantum threat
I'm conflicted on his take
On the one side, quantum is a complete hoax and has been debunked by world-renowed computer science professors, there's no room for debate. Everyone fearing it should be called out has having been scammed, a scammer, retarded, or all of the above.
I'm pretty sure Saylor, as a top spook out of Washington, knows this.
But on the other hand, his position at the pulpit might warrant "It's easier to fool people than to convince them they have been fooled" and spread these platitudes about upgrading/freezing coins until the concern trolls exhaust themselves or are beaten down by reality.
My issue with the latter is it gives upgradooors a lifeline to portray Bitcoin as malleable by baseless FUD, which is imo a worse overhang than quantum itself.
Aint got time for all that, here's the slop summary:
The video "Todays Pysops, Not Like Yesterdays Pysops" by Curtis Stone explores how modern psychological operations are losing their grip as public discernment accelerates. Stone advocates for a shift away from online "rabbit holes" and toward radical self-reliance and local community building.
SummarySummary
Curtis Stone shares macro-level observations after a two-month hiatus from social media. He argues that the traditional "psyop" model—designed to control narratives over long periods—is failing because people now identify inconsistencies in real-time. He warns that the establishment benefits when people are stuck in a "hamster wheel" of online anger and suggests that the rise of AI-generated "slop" is further devaluing information. The ultimate solution, according to Stone, is to "row your own boat": focusing on local food systems, real-world social capital, and personal sovereignty.
Key InsightsKey Insights
- The Accelerated Timeline of Discernment Stone observes a "fibonacci spiral" of awakening. While it took a decade for many to question the narrative of 9/11 [10:47], modern events are being scrutinized and "called out" within weeks or even hours [13:56]. This suggests that traditional methods of manufacturing consensus are becoming less effective.
- The "Hamster Wheel" of Online Conflict A primary goal of modern psychological operations is simply to keep the populace distracted and angry [03:36]. By arguing over narratives or whether certain figures are "controlled opposition," individuals waste time and energy that could be spent on productive, real-world improvements [05:23].
- The Rise of "AI Slop" We are entering what Stone calls "The Great Devaluing" of content [22:44]. Much of what is seen online is now AI-generated content designed to exploit fear and trends [20:46]. This makes personal discernment and "organic" verification of information more critical than ever.
- "Row Your Own Boat" Stone emphasizes that it doesn't matter if someone else is "controlled opposition" if you are focusing on your own life and progress [16:00]. He encourages viewers to stop giving value to their online lives and instead build "real social capital" with neighbors and local communities [32:52].
- Radical Localization as the Only Remedy Because federal and state-level politics are viewed as too large and corrupt to change [34:01], Stone argues for "radical cooperation at local levels" [33:42]. This includes knowing your farmer, being self-employed to gain financial agency [38:57], and getting involved in local municipal politics.
- The Path to Sovereignty Stone outlines a progression for personal independence: moving from Dependency to being Secure, then Resilient, and finally Sovereign [47:44]. This is achieved through incremental steps in securing one's own food, water, energy, and shelter.
I'd argue the psyops are working exactly as intended, we're in a "meta-psyop" to disclose that everything has always been a psyop. The "great awakening" is psyop to make you notice psyops.
AI slop is forcing people to learn discernment.
You are supposed to be exhausted with online arguments so that you participate meaningfully, this is how you get parents to show up at school board meetings and cause a scene.
Localization and rowing your own boat is participation, we got to this place by people not participating... community groups are a defacto shadow government to your town government, etc. This scales upwards. Government is a citadel at scale, your community is your citadel.... if you have no community you have no citadel.
Things usually reduce down to chaos and order, its the nature of the universe.
Agents of chaos force change, more virtual block space, more spam, more op_codes, forced upgrades
With each change, the system, a thing and people they do not control, becomes more malleable and creates for them more opportunities.
There are organizations at extremely high levels that do not want bitcoin to be stable, disintermediated, with contented holders... because it leaves them no seat at the table.
Forcing upgrades, scaring people into selling or never buying, tricking hipsters into wanting more... if that pattern sounds familiar:
The ring leaders as we see them are usually just punching a clock for an NGO, they know not what they do, they're themselves malleable hipsters... not talented enough to do something of their own volition. It's who funds the NGO's, the Courtier, that have a long tail plan for chaos.
The spam psyop is making more sense, the quantum fudders also want to confiscate UTXOs... But many of them are arguing against the spam confiscation
Mfw the spam psyop has been a setup for the quantum fork
🫡
Been for the ride since 19... Got another doubling in it before I rebalance again
Lock downs weren't a cost, but a down payment, so they could paper over the system with a few trillion without the velocity of people going out ... It bought down personal debt and increased household savings over years. Also served to soft launch the China decoupling and install a fake president who could eat the inflation. Completely staged by the national security state... All part of the plan.
Housing is an interesting animal, all the variables of macro and then some because of migration even within the US, local regs, and demographics. Prices have been pretty flat a few years to break the ponzi cycle, building happening, now net-negative migration. I suspect lower rates will go hand in hand with boomers downsizing and it'll remain flat for the foreseeable.