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Yea that's Low-IQ cope for people who feel a satisfactory housing situation is unattainable
Mortgage rates are below that of inflation of hard assets, the free leverage on a good piece of property closes the gap with bitcoin performance, especially once you consider QOL
Buying a condo, or some depreciating wood box on a postage stamp lot in which to dwell, isn't the same as buying a hard asset property. If a box dwelling is all you aspire to, then sure you're better off in coin and renting... but a legacy property or a homestead bought with free leverage is the correct framing of "buying a home"
Added LEU to the SpookNuke Trust
It's the only US maker of High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium (fuel for latest gen reactors)
Recent DOE contract to expand production. No DoD contracts yet, that's just more upside.
Up about 25% on BWXT since adding it a few weeks ago. SMR down about 10% since I cut it. DJT down 2% since adding after Fusion acquisition. OKLO chopping wood here, trimmed over $110, may buy some of that back below 90... cost basis on that is $9
Could i vibe code this into existence, or would it need a ground up personal build
There's a few components to this that will creep the scope, but if you re-use stuff it should be manageable. Lighting.Pub could obviously provide the Lightning interface and is already nostr-native.
Some of the ideation may be ambitious, creates a lot of conditional logic, pare down to base functionally than expand later as needed.
Long lived nostr services are a bit tricky as nostr-tools really sucks at that, but its doable. Making it reliable is an order of magnitude harder than making it demo.
Depending on your architectural knowledge it may be fairly difficult, but if you have some good foundations or some help it should be doable in a few days.
Would highly recommend iterating in a coding tool with a planning mode. Cursor is good at this, use planning mode iteratively to really nail down an implementation plan with all the minutia before running code gen. Do this over days so you can look at it with fresh eyes a few mornings in a row.
What language would be best for the code
You'll need nostr-tools in some form so just stick with nodejs / typescript
If the bitbetbot source is FOSS i can fork it I assume?
Quick search and I can't find the source
Oracle
curl -s https://rates.shockwallet.app/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot
{"data":{"amount":"96187.195","base":"BTC","currency":"USD"}}
(coinbase mirror)
Database
sqlite should be adequate, use the better-sqlite node module.
Planning mode may ask if you want to use an ORM or query builder... in my experience the llms are better off raw-dogging SQL than using them.
If it really takes off and has growing pains with sqlite then upgrading to postgres will be trivial.
Gaming the System
Lightning.Pub accounts use atomic transactions and locks to prevent drainage attacks, but the application itself could still be gamed. You'll need to think carefully about house edge and ensuring the house can't lose if the game is sybil attacked.
You also may want to dynamically hedge your exposure with an external exchange if the market gets one-sided, that introduces an exchange API to market-make into your back-end.
Liquidity
Not a problem for me since users are just using their own sats, and Pub will programatically lease channels... though this is still in early stages and may require some touch with high volume.
The liquidity issue the game bot will face is what I mentioned above, one-sided markets, where for example you may be net short Bitcoin if a lot more users are betting HIGHER and few bet LOWER
a hard cap on a single winning bet
You may want safety conditions to freeze new bets altogether, or only allow one-side of the market if its out of balance. This may be wiser than jumping into exchange integration initially.
Regulatory/Legal
Not legal advise, but I'd view it as a prediction market, and would cap bet sizes so you've made a demonstrable effort to prevent abuse by people using it to mix or transmit to others
Also demonstrates dishonesty from a publisher that labels itself "economic research", it's no secret that LLCs and shell corps are used to isolate risk across larger portfolios.
own less than one percent of single-family homes
Less than 1% of homes are on the market at any given time, so at 1% market ownership that private equity could choke liquid supply
whether the President has legal authority
TDS, the executive branch sword that financial institutions built to defend their monopolies cuts both ways. Live by the state, die by the state.
their impact on prices is modest
Not knowable, ownership is responsive
states in blue
Private equity front-runs where industry (and thus workers) are moving to, not from. Only logical they'd buy up housing stock in an area where they're also planning large factories.
Places with more large institutional investor ownership of single-family homes saw larger price declines over the most recently available 12-month period
They intentionally buy falling knives where the downside is largely priced-in.
Life begins when you stop adding sugar to coffee... helps re-aligns your taste buds to savory instead of sweet so you start tasting food for the first time.
SpaceX readying to go public too 👀
No umbrel packing done yet, but lots of progress on start9 hit list which will be reusable for umbrel.
for the next few years at least
May end this year.
If Anthropic and OpenAI go public, as is expected in a big IPO year, then the VC's will have their exit liquidity and don't need to keep up the charade any longer and move on to the next current thing.
These would effectively force xAI to do something while valuations are obscene, like reverse merger into TSLA, thereby giving Musk more control of TSLA.
Trying to get a big Lightning.Pub and ShockWallet push out the door
Includes a big refactor for the reliability of nostr sockets and using redundant relays, also submarine swaps to chain for users and inverse swaps for administrative re-balancing
Concept has been around awhile, we've had a crowd control one for ages
I assume the foreign one is, uh, "tuned" differently
I don't see it as all over the place, simply that there were innumerable reasons for it... My list at the open is just what I came up with while on the shitter, there's surely more.
People will generally pick their pet reason, since there's a buffet of reasons both public and classified.
I myself enjoy variety.
Still technically not regime change, thats the biggest critique in country, same apparatus still... Singular arrest.
But even if it was, it's not a broken campaign promise
"I don't want regime change" proceeds "but we'll do it if we have to"...
Regime change wars and nation building would be another matter, it's a pretty desperate reach to nit an arrest... Very delusional to fancy yourself as neutral and objective, your entire framing is a fishing expedition.
I think I recall seeing that the October thing was an exchange API breakage, something external reported the price incorrectly which caused their engine to mis-price and liquidate people.
Very similar to what broke some stableshitcoin on exchanges that started the cascade in the first place.
Liquidity shouldn't be an issue since Bitmex is the ultimate market maker, may just want to use slugs to avoid slippage if you go big.
but this is boring
lol very true, until the price starts to run and you log in to check and see a whole bunch of free sats... or when there's blood in the streets and you log in and see you're not liquified
Supposed to be satire, but there's literally more US boots in Greenland than Euros already given the Space Force base, and it's been that way since at least WW2