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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @TwoLargePizzas 22 Dec \ on: Bitcoin vs the World: how big is btc's network compared to other large networks? bitcoin
This is very cool.
The only feedback I would give is that Electricity is a bit misleading. Electricity grids are typically contained networks and not connected to each other between countries or even regions.
For example, in Australia there's the NEM and the WEM. The NEM covers the east coast and the WEM covers the west cost. They're not connected to each other.
Electricity grids also have some interesting properties. For example, every generator on the network must run at the same frequency to keep the grid stable. If any one generator is malfunctioning there's other services that come into play to stabilize the frequency to prevent blackouts.
With the advent of more renewable energy on these grids like wind farms, solar farms and rooftop solar injecting energy into the grid there's new and increasing challenges keeping it stable. Some people have proposed that in the future we might end up with more smaller grids rather than the current large grids we use today.
Interestingly, Bitcoin is starting to play an important part in grid stability as well. Having a constant consumer of energy that can be turned on and off as needed is a great way to keep grids stable. Historically, this has been challenging because most large consumers of energy don't have the ability to turn off and on as easily.
There's a little bit of irony here. All these years the environmentalists have criticized Bitcoin for it's energy usage and it turns it might be the very thing that makes the renewable energy rollout possible.
Based on what evidence though? It's fair to have a subjective opinion of someone but when I think about these words 'egotistical' and 'evil' it's not clear to me why Elon is any different to a regular person.
For example, if we start breaking down the meanings of those words....
egotistical :- excessively conceited or absorbed in oneself; self-centered.
evil :- profoundly immoral and wicked.
immoral :- not conforming to accepted standards of morality.
morality :- principles concerning the distinction between right and wrong or good and bad behavior.
It's pretty clear some from of the some interviews that he's done some things that could be considered egotistical like working his employees to the bone. On the other hand, he does pay them well and it's nearly impossible to run several multibillion dollar companies without solving real world problems and helping people which is quite the opposite of self-centered.
Evil is a much harder term to grasp. Elon is certainly no saint, but I'd struggle to find something he's done that would be considered truly evil. He's been married multiple times and known to have cheated. Immoral yes, evil? Probably not.
All I'm saying is, I think there's plenty of worse people than Elon.
Sure, maybe. But there's still some fundamental assumptions built into this.
First of all, quantum computers are not magic. They can theoretically do things faster than classical computers but they're still bound by physical time constraints.
Using Grover's Algorithm for searching unsorted databases has quadratic speedup compared to classical computers. When applied to breaking SHA-256, Grover's algorithm would theoretically take around 2^128 / 4 β 2^127 steps on a quantum computer.
The exact time it takes for a single step depends on the specific implementation and hardware of the quantum computer. For today's early-stage machines, each operation might take microseconds to milliseconds.
With those speeds, breaking SHA-256 would still take a very long time:
- At 1 microsecond per operation: ~300 years
- At 1 millisecond (0.001 second) per operation: ~90,000 years
These are rough estimates and don't account for the significant overhead of error correction, control systems, and other aspects needed to make a large-scale quantum computer work reliably.
So yes, while quantum computers can do it significantly faster than classical computers we're still talking about huge numbers.
I was just about to watch the video and moments later the account was closed.
edit: Is the video on Rumble or somewhere else?
It seems inevitable that hyper inflation of the US dollar will happen sooner or later. The hard part is predicting exactly when or how that will play out though. One might even argue it's already happening but we're still in the 'slowly' part of 'slowly then suddenly'.
People that get hurt most by hyperinflation are typically those that hold most of their wealth in the currency being inflated. That's not the case for Saylor so he'll probably be okay. Although, there might be second order effects like a 6102 attack, capital controls or other regulations that make it difficult for MicroStrategy to move their holdings. But don't forget, Saylor has also said he holds about 17,000 BTC in his personal stash which he probably has in self custody so even if MicroStrategy gets burnt he personally will still be extraordinarily wealthy.
As for banks, I agree the current fractional reserve, lender of last resort, bailout model won't work on a Bitcoin standard. But I don't think banks will cease to exist entirely. They'll more likely transform onto a different model more like the old traditional lending models of the past.
That's my opinion for what it's worth, but again predicting the future, especially many decades out is fraught with speculation. I try to not let my emotions about what I want to cloud my decisions and instead just do my best to understand the current state of the world.
Saylor was certainly in a bad mood in that interview but nothing that he said really surprised me.
Billionaires have been using lending and leverage to get and stay rich for as long as I can remember. They do it because it works. The model is very simple, buy and hold valuable assets, borrow against them and buy more. Never sell. Pass them on to your children and repeat.
It blows my mind when people are surprised by this. It blows my mind even more when people are delusional enough to think it's going to suddenly change overnight.
Saylor speaks publicly about it but I highly doubt he's the only one. There's plenty of wealthy people that keep a much lower profile. It's a good thing we get some insight into how they think.
Lastly, timelines are extremely important. It's one thing to see a different future for Bitcoin but we might be off significantly about how long it's going to take. On that journey it's not crazy to make the observation that the fiat system and regulations will persist.
Making observations is not the same as advocacy. There are many things I don't like about the fiat system but I'm not delusional enough to think it's going to disappear in my lifetime.
The word invent means to create something that didn't exist before.
But you can't really have invention without discovery. So it's actually both.
It's both. People who have done the work up front will push the price higher and the price going higher will attract more people.
I think a lot more people are paying a small amount of attention but it's not thier main focus. Kinda like they see Bitcoin in thier peripheral vision but haven't turned thier head to really look at it.
In other words, I think the orange pill barrier has lowered and the next wave of people being orange pilled well be much larger than the previous.
Hi James! I've often wondered if your time as a hockey player has given you any unique perspectives in the investment world?
I think people underestimate the ability of Bitcoin core developers. They can read, understand and test the SHA256 code as well as any NSA employee.
If there was a back door it would've been found. This is one fear I don't lose sleep over
If we're going to talk about tainted sats I would like to understand what the risks actually are?
As far as I'm aware receiving money is not a crime. But it could be used to connect you to a crime.
Receiving money is also a taxable event. If you failed to declare it as income on your taxes that would also be illegal.
If you didn't actually commit a crime it would seem to me the risk is being falsely accused of a crime you didn't commit.
Don't get me wrong, the risk is certainly not zero. There's obviously corruption in the legal system. People do get caught in the crossfire sometimes. We also don't know what the future holds, some future political change could greatly increase the risk of receiving tainted sats.
In an ideal world I never want to receive tainted sats. But it seems to me the simple act of receiving them is not the issue. The risk is the surrounding evidence that connects you with a crime you didn't commit.