📈 Scalar Markets coming soon to Predyx. \ stacker news ~oracle

pull down to refresh

📈 Scalar Markets coming soon to Predyx.

763 sats \ 23 comments \ @mega_dreamer 8 Jun oracle

📈 Scalar Markets coming soon to Predyx.

Predict the exact BTC closing price — not just up or down.

🎯 Most likely? $105K 💸 Payouts scale with precision. ⚡ Bet in sats. No deposits. Instant payout if correct.

🔗 https://beta.predyx.com #Bitcoin #YESNO #Predyx

view all related items

101 sats \ 9 replies \ @Undisciplined 22h

That's super interesting!

Different ways of eliciting knowledge, combined with arbitraging those responses, should yield really accurate results.

42 sats \ 8 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Yes so many ways to elicit knowledge. We're still figuring it out.

101 sats \ 7 replies \ @Undisciplined 15h

Another one will be letting people buy specific probabilities, rather than shares. Technically, they'd still be buying shares, but they'd enter the probabilities and Predyx could figure out for them how many shares to buy or sell, and of which outcomes, to achieve it.

42 sats \ 6 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Wow - sounds very interesting. Can you please elaborate more, I'm still very foggy from weekend drinking 🥴

202 sats \ 5 replies \ @Undisciplined 15h

This would make the biggest difference in a multi-market setting.

Right now, when I buy shares I have an idea of what probability I'm targeting, but I have to choose the number of shares through a little bit of searching to find it. Then, once I make the purchase all the other odds shift. That might lead me to scrolling through and seeing if I want to make any other purchases or sales to get the odds closer to where I think they should be.

Another approach would be if I could say that I think X should be 70% and Y should be 5% and then Predyx works out the cheapest way for me to move the odds to those values simultaneously.

42 sats \ 4 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 14h

Got it - thanks for elaborating.

Yes makes sense now - this will be great tool for power users like yourself. We will put this in our new feature list. Expect it to be released between 30 - 45 days.

view all 4 replies

147 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 21h

Very cool.

Any idea when the Norway chess market and the Magnus vs Gukesh market will be resolved and paid out?

40 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Thanks.

They will be resolved tomorrow, some of our keys employees were sick this week/weekend - thus the delays.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 14h

Ok sounds good

161 sats \ 0 replies \ @WeAreAllSatoshi 8 Jun

More interesting ways for me to lose money, excellent! lol

190 sats \ 1 reply \ @Coinsreporter 8 Jun

This would be an amazing addition! It looks similar to roulette. Is it not?

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Yes looks like roulette. Scalar markets appeal to more people as it removes the complexity of YES/NO. A lot of new traders are not very skilled in YES/NO type of trades. I'm hoping it will help us attract more users with less experience in prediction markets.

151 sats \ 4 replies \ @BlokchainB 23h

Are you checking the bug tracker GitHub? I am finding bugs that need fixing that I posted in GitHub

93 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Thanks. we'll start checking it more often. Noted the the following issues (will be fixed in next release):

Quick bet is unresponsive on PWA
Quick login not working.

74 sats \ 2 replies \ @WeAreAllSatoshi 23h

I didn’t realize there was a GitHub repo. Can you link?

50 sats \ 1 reply \ @BlokchainB 23h

The code is closed Source while they build out but mega created this repo to report bugs

https://github.com/PREDYX

But it’s not well maintained as you can see

89 sats \ 0 replies \ @WeAreAllSatoshi 22h

Got it, Thank you!

101 sats \ 1 reply \ @ACYK 17h

This article has projected number of wins (based on FPI) in the 2025 season for the top 20 college football teams. Scalar markets to bet on total number of wins in the season for teams would be fun. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/45284359/2025-college-football-fpi-power-index-best-matchups-title-odds

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 15h

Thanks for the suggestion on

Scalar markets to bet on total number of wins in the season for teams

We will start deploying scalar markets in a month or so. Still in the early development stage.