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42 sats \ 2 replies \ @SimpleStacker 22 Jun \ on: Iran War Prediction Markets Politics_And_Law

First is good

Second may be hard to resolve. Would a missile launch at a us base in the region count? What about shooting down an American drone?

Third will be resolved instantly lol

I would propose a 4th: regime change in Iran by end of 2025

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42 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer 22 Jun
regime change in Iran by end of 2025

Got it - will be listing this as well.

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30 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined OP 22 Jun

The third one is already toast, from what I've seen.

I like the last one.

I think it should be easy enough to specify the parameters of the second one: bases and embassies are considered America, but American military personnel or equipment in or around Iranian territory are not and collateral damage is not counted.

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