This AI stuff is pretty intense, what is everyones thoughts on the future of art, writing, and media when this becomes fully formed?
It can make an argument for anything. Below, @gmd has an essay with the prompt, "Write a convincing essay Etherium is a security." But if I was Vitalik, I could have an AI write a convincing essay to make the opposite argument.
If I was Ben Bernanke, I could have AI make a convincing argument for the Federal Reserve.
If I was Adolf Hitler, I could have the AI make a convincing argument for the Holocaust.
If I were a pedo, I could have the AI make a...
See where I'm going with this?
DR22 had AI write a persuasive essay in favor of child labor, in which the AI said argued children are "expendable" and "easily manipulated."
It is just a machine. It has no ideology, no morality, no values whatsoever. It can be used for any purpose, to make any argument, to support any cause you can think of, and even causes you don't want to think of. It's a synthetic intelligence, and that's all it is.
I think it's making humans uncomfortable because, for the last few centuries, we've placed tremendous emphasis on the intellect and on our creative & intellectual achievements, and we assume the ability to write a sentence or express an idea is what makes us unique, simply because grasshoppers don't do these things.
But I don't think that is what makes a human being unique, and, actually, I think AI will force a reevaluation (quite literally, a crisis of conscience) of what a human being actually is and where his unique qualities lie.
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Yes. Interesting point.
What about listening merely to real people one meets face to face?
Instead of reading prolonged argumwnts which as you say may be AI-made?
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just wait until this thing integrates GPT4…
There is a funny thread on twitter about students using this to cheat but also teachers can use it to rapidly grade and evaluate essays 😂
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Yes, agreed. ChatGPT automates rhetoric, like the Sophists were perfecting in Socrates' time. But because it isn't human, we can't really expect it to understand what's in our best interests morally.
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I am low-key terrified, TBH. This is rapid deflation and commoditization of these skills at an unprecedented rate. Combine that with self-driving cars within 5 years or so... 👀
These early tools are not better than the top few %, but better than 90% of us will ever be at these skills. We used to say AI would "free people" to do creative work... but now it is taking those jobs too. I think we'll see a power law at play were a small percent of business owners leverage this technology to massive profits while the rest suffer the downstream effects of deflation.
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seriously I asked it to make a resume for me and it was a million times better than anything I would write, change a few fields, and all of a sudden it's like I spent a long period of time with a career mentor. I also asked it interview questions and the answers it gave are a million times better than anything I would say.
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It will still "free people" to be creative. I think the AI image generators will mostly replace stock and editorial art. While artists won't be able to rely on those commissions for much longer, they'll be able to spend that time on more creative work and hone their craft.
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I worry that far fewer people are needed to get work done and therefore more people will be out of jobs.
I see a lot of people in developing countries who have a ton of free time to be creative but no good job opportunities.
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I'll add that I don't think it will be immediately good for creatives. AI is advancing faster than society can adapt. It's going to take us a minute to redefine what it means to create value and restructure accordingly. In the meantime, things might get a little wild.
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Is that not the same argument against the industrial revolution though? I hope the idea is that people can move up the value chain, with AI taking over menial stuff like click-bait article writing and basic image editing.
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Perhaps. Today it has an IQ of ~83 but is absurdly efficient. At some point it might have an effective IQ of 140+ and operate even faster. At some point most of us mere chimps will fall underneath the value chain of the AI itself. I don't think it will replace all of the jobs, but I worry it might rapidly eliminate an uncomfortably large proportion of the decent jobs before society has time to adjust. Leverage is applied so much faster in the software age than any time before.
One can look at academia, where there is already a surplus of PhD's fighting for a few coveted tenured professor positions, and the rest of the post-docs are working for peanuts.
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I like to tell people that AI is to humans what the internal combustion engine was to horses. Up until about a century ago, it was a great time to be a horse. There was plenty of work to do across the entire economy: transportation, logistics, agriculture, defense, and so on. Then in the late 1800s, a bunch Germans started tinkering about, yada yada yada, and now horses are pretty much relegated to entertainment.
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haha great point. Horses never found their creative higher purpose. Let's hope us chimps do a bit better.
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Perhaps this is the great reckoning. In tandem with Bitcoin, humanity may achieve a godlike status (and I hesitate to use that word for all its connotations) with our ability to delegate and envision. Perhaps we can task the AI with building the engines and rockets to travel to other planets etc. With sound money anything becomes possible.
Perhaps the convergence of this various technology is what leads to the next great step forward for humanity?
Will our problem remain then, as it always has, a philosophical one? What is the meaning of all of this?
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My main thoughts are
  1. there will be more art, writing, and media
  2. art, writing, and media will be better
Computers kind of did in librarians as a profession, but it created a larger group of workers. I suspect the same will be true with these fields. Specialists will remain, and everyone else will shift toward making new, currently unimaginable things with the tech.
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i dont think it will change much tbh. the internet is already a giant AI that you can prompt for tonnes of photos, art, literature about anything really. And honestly thats the only reason these AIs can exist. They just crawl the internet and tries to reproduce it as best they can. One could argue they are kind of a scam
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