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One take away from the previous posts is that at moderate interest rates, the frequency of compounding doesn’t make that much difference. A nominal interest rate of 12%, compounded continuously, is effectively a 12.75% interest rate. Compound less than continuously, say monthly or daily, and the effective rate will be somewhere between 12% and 12.75%.
But now say interest is 50% per month. Simple interest would be 600% a year, but nobody would accept simple interest. Compounded every month, the effective interest rate would be 12975%. Compounded daily it would be 38433%. And compounded continuously it would be 40343%.
What I find hardest to understand about hyperinflation is that people continue to use hyperinflated currency far longer than I would imagine. Once you start using a clock rather than a calendar when doing interest calculations, I would think that people would abandon the inflated currency in favor of something harder, like gold or silver, or even cigarettes. And eventually people do, but “eventually” is further out than I would imagine. It’s absurd to haul paper money in a wheel barrow, and yet people do it.
I'm sure there are some decent theories as to why. The answer is something I'd expect to read in a Dan Ariely book.
100 sats \ 0 replies \ @Signal312 5h
Probably because there aren't all that many options. When there are alternative options, people will probably use them.
This is from a comment on the article:
John, people do abandon hyperinflated currency very quickly and turn to hard currencies, like US dollar or gold, the only problem is that in most cases it is prohibited by the local law… I learned it hard way back in 1970/80s in Poland then ruled by communists and burdened by inflation of 100%/month: everybody used dollars (at least for larger purchases) risking bars.
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I suspect it's similar to the set of reasons why people prefer to accept dollars over bitcoin.
  • Contracts are already in place in fiat
  • Customers are trying to spend in fiat
  • The government requires some fiat use
I do think the SoV function of fiat basically vanishes during hyperinflation, but it's still the MoE, so monetary velocity goes through the roof.
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I completely agree. Inflation is already something that degrades your money in the fiat model, and when we talk about hyperinflation: it is a very high, out-of-control inflation, in which prices increase rapidly at the same time that the currency constantly loses its real value without you being able to do anything. The Fiat system is a total fallacy.
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Akg10s3 8h
I liked this part: "It's absurd to transport paper money in a wheelbarrow, and yet people do it." In my home country, hyperinflation has been going on for over 15 continuous years!! And the results have been devastating!! Even after so many years abroad, I still feel its effects because I have to send money or remittances to my oldest daughter, who is still there, and the money I sent her in soles from (Lima, Peru) loses a lot of purchasing power once it arrives there!! Wow! If the local currency or the banknotes circulating in that country had all the "Zeros" that have been removed from their nominal value, there would undoubtedly be people carrying wheelbarrows of paper...
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