Oh well, so the Stackers are running Predyx these days... @Undisciplined even consulting the @mega_dreamer team!
So, this was F1 weekend and I was finally in a place/time where I could binge-watch the whole thing. Looks like McLaren is crushing it, Verstappen is struggling, and the interesting outstanding bet comes down to whether Piastri keeps winning or Norris will catch up.
After today's races Piastri is +16, but with eleven weekends left to go there's PLEEEEN-TYYYY of points available: 291 if you win everything (11 races + 2 sprints) left for the season.
@TNStacker doesn't care, yolo-ing in like there's no tomorrow. I ran some numbers and made some guesstimate... and then, like all good knowledge peeps in the age of AI, ran it by Grok. Here's the assessed outcome:
So, low and behold, Predyx traders are basically spot on, Piastri trading at 61% and Norris at 33%. (or Grok follows publicly available sentiment and echoes traders??).
The biggest diff is that we're slightly overweight Piastri (which is why I'm re-balancing to Norris) and the 15 vs 3 for Verstappen seems off (also, Verstappen's name is misspelled in the options on Predyx, Mr. Megadreamer).
Anyway, HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE!
GamblingForecasting Addict: F1 Version