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I missed every prime time game this week. Gah!
Away TeamHome TeamPickML OddsResult
PHINYGPHI-400MISS
DENNYJDEN-370HIT
NENONE-190HIT
LACMIALAC-210HIT
DALCARDAL-160MISS
ARIINDIND-525HIT
SEAJAXSEA-110HIT
LARBALLAR-360HIT
CLEPITPIT-290HIT
TENLVLV-225HIT
SFTBTB-180HIT
CINGBGB-1300HIT
DETKCDET120MISS
BUFATLBUF-205MISS
CHIWASWAS-230MISS
This week, I went 10-5 for a net loss of $0.93
Through week 6, I am 60-32-1 for a net profit of $3.22
On to week 7!
So many misses for me this week but I did hit a couple underdogs so hopefully the loss isn't too bad.
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That's always the trade-off. It would be interesting to see how only picking underdogs would have resulted at the end of each week, and the end of the season.
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That would be a fun experiment. Maybe next year you pick all favourites and I will pick all underdogs and we will see how it plays out. Likely we both end up losing money. haha
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I think no matter what I/we do, I/we are going to be losing money lol
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I hit another parlay last night. I am definitely up on parlays this year. But I don’t swing for the fences so usually small returns. I always pick off the alt lines. I like to double up on guys sometimes too. Like with CMC I will pick alt rushing 40 yards and alt rushing and receiving 60 yards. I like to QB alt rushing yards too. If I can get a line of 10 rushing yards on a mobile QB I will take it because even if he isn’t a guy that has designed runs he is going to escape a couple times at pick up some yards. With receivers I usually use alt reception lines rather than yards. I don’t know how a game is going to go so I would rather project a guy is going to get 4 receptions than 60 yards.
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My comment on always losing money was mostly tongue in cheek - I am still generally trending up in my account balance, despite the NFL finding many ways for my bets to lose.
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50 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 23h
I am doing pretty well this season. Sadly I have lost some of my gain betting that my Blue Jays won't suck the past couple games and well they have sucked.
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Nice, those are good strategies. I also use alt-lines for parlays. I don't like the elevated risk of over/unders.
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Josh Allen stinking + Jake Moody game winner
Not how I expected to lose the week
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92 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 23h
Moody's kicks still all look ugly even when they go in but credit to him 4/5 and the game winner. Impressive.
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Right? Crazy
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