I missed every prime time game this week. Gah!
| Away Team | Home Team | Pick | ML Odds | Result |
| PHI | NYG | PHI | -400 | MISS |
| DEN | NYJ | DEN | -370 | HIT |
| NE | NO | NE | -190 | HIT |
| LAC | MIA | LAC | -210 | HIT |
| DAL | CAR | DAL | -160 | MISS |
| ARI | IND | IND | -525 | HIT |
| SEA | JAX | SEA | -110 | HIT |
| LAR | BAL | LAR | -360 | HIT |
| CLE | PIT | PIT | -290 | HIT |
| TEN | LV | LV | -225 | HIT |
| SF | TB | TB | -180 | HIT |
| CIN | GB | GB | -1300 | HIT |
| DET | KC | DET | 120 | MISS |
| BUF | ATL | BUF | -205 | MISS |
| CHI | WAS | WAS | -230 | MISS |
This week, I went 10-5 for a net loss of $0.93
Through week 6, I am 60-32-1 for a net profit of $3.22
On to week 7!
So many misses for me this week but I did hit a couple underdogs so hopefully the loss isn't too bad.
That's always the trade-off. It would be interesting to see how only picking underdogs would have resulted at the end of each week, and the end of the season.
That would be a fun experiment. Maybe next year you pick all favourites and I will pick all underdogs and we will see how it plays out. Likely we both end up losing money. haha
I think no matter what I/we do, I/we are going to be losing money lol
I hit another parlay last night. I am definitely up on parlays this year. But I don’t swing for the fences so usually small returns. I always pick off the alt lines. I like to double up on guys sometimes too. Like with CMC I will pick alt rushing 40 yards and alt rushing and receiving 60 yards. I like to QB alt rushing yards too. If I can get a line of 10 rushing yards on a mobile QB I will take it because even if he isn’t a guy that has designed runs he is going to escape a couple times at pick up some yards. With receivers I usually use alt reception lines rather than yards. I don’t know how a game is going to go so I would rather project a guy is going to get 4 receptions than 60 yards.
My comment on always losing money was mostly tongue in cheek - I am still generally trending up in my account balance, despite the NFL finding many ways for my bets to lose.
I am doing pretty well this season. Sadly I have lost some of my gain betting that my Blue Jays won't suck the past couple games and well they have sucked.
Nice, those are good strategies. I also use alt-lines for parlays. I don't like the elevated risk of over/unders.
Josh Allen stinking + Jake Moody game winner
Not how I expected to lose the week
Moody's kicks still all look ugly even when they go in but credit to him 4/5 and the game winner. Impressive.
Right? Crazy