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Across the board, what's the alternative to the US?
Even if China+Russia can keep pace on raw materials, mfg, energy, defense, gold... How do they get the US out of position as the capitol of capital?
The US doesn't need to be perfect to run this strategy, just better, and it already has the high ground. Apparently they're running it, so if there's an alternative, what is it?
I can agree with that and still not conclude that we'll see a midterm melt-up in 2026.
You're saying that Russia-China-India-Brazil-Iran have no countermeasures? They know that bitcoin is strategically more useful to the US than it is to them.
2026 is a product of the obbb, Treasury merger, re-shoring, and lower yields... The death of offshore fiats may start as a helpful bleed but would take years to play out, could make 2028 extra fun.
So a melt-up in dollar value, not necessarily in euro or yen.
And why is it assumed that other jurisdictions have no countermeasures against StableCoins? Maybe Europe doesn't, but Russia, India, China, Brazil, they have plenty.
It doesn't rely on the absence of resistance, it's that resistance is futile.
Every other economy is largely irrelevant on scale, and their need to cooperate to scale up is a major weakness when the US has a default sphere along for the ride.
India, Brazil, China, probably Russia, all have sophisticated payment rails that make USDT largely irrelevant on a grand scale. They can easily make it inconvenient enough and even theoretically supply their own interoperable payment rails so that they're own citizens don't leave their currency to trade internationally, the conversion is handled through swaps.
You're argument seems to me like a dragon eating it's own tail. How does the US debase it's own currency, make it less useful in international trade, and prevent the coordination of its peer competitors, and come out on top?
I mean, I get it that it's great to be a Bitcoiner in the US or Europe relative to your peers, other citizens of the collective West. But how that converts to US dominance in any of the fields that matter is frankly unsupported.
What economies do those countries have if they can't trade with the US or the US imposes costs on doing do? None, subsistence at best in the case of Russia. It's about leverage, they have none so we don't need to subsidize them any longer, this is just a return to math instead of a globalist scam.
US has been debasing, the point is now thats over, hense the wrecking ball.
All of them combined can replace the US sufficiently to function. There are enough consumers in Brazil and India for Chinese products, all of them have enough raw materials.
The West would go into de-growth trying to re-industrialise to replace east Asian manufacturing, because salaries would have to be beaten into capitulation. That's arguably what they are trying to do with immigrants, to drive down salaries, but minimum wages are essentially untouchable in Europe, and the cost of living crisis (housing) is unsolvable in the US due to the use of real estate as a pension fund for voting boomers.
The US is more likely to look like a big Turkey than a global dominant powerhouse in 10 years.
I am sympathetic that the demographic situation in China and other east Asian industrial societies is terminal, including in the allies of the US, but I don't agree that demographics tilts everything in favour of the US. Japan has undoubtedly been able to keep it's bond yields low in part due to its ethnic demographic homogeneity, meaning it hasn't experienced the degree of consensus collapse that we have in the West.