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If polar bears are indeed thriving in certain regions despite reductions in sea ice it challenges one of the most frequently repeated narratives used in climate change advocacy. The situation illustrates the complexity of ecosystems and the danger of oversimplifying cause and effect. The relationship between ice cover and bear health is not linear. Less ice in some cases results in more sunlight reaching the ocean which increases plankton growth which boosts fish populations which in turn benefits seals and ultimately bears.

Of course this does not mean that every polar bear population is safe or that climate change has no effect. Some regions like Hudson Bay and the Beaufort Sea are seeing declines and these should not be brushed aside. But what it does suggest is that the environmental picture is more nuanced than the prevailing story of uniform decline. Predictions made decades ago have not always matched reality and science should be able to adjust its models when new evidence emerges.