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One factor that you didn't took in c consideration: HUMAN STUPIDITY
There are tooo many stupid people in this world that do not want to learn absolutely anything, but just obey, follow and die in obscurity and stupidity.
And that's why Bitcoin will fail.
Who will use Bitcoin will be for their own survival, building a parallel society / economy.

Read more here about human stupidity: #685370

Although I do think its the people who are willing to learn that will eventually bring significant impact to Bitcoin.

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