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Uncertainty over whether the situation is described accurately could also be uncertainty over whether the world works the way you think it does. So I think it's rational under many circumstances to take the one-box. But I don't think the video should have presented it as a valid EU-maixmization based chain of thought using the given probabilities. It's much more likely driven by unstated notions of risk aversion, ambiguity aversion, and regret minimization.
Of course I agree with that.
I will say, the way I expect the world to work is that any bizarre highly contrived situation like this is probably a trick of some sort.
do you field goal or touchdown?
unstated notions of risk aversion, ambiguity aversion, and regret minimization
Let me Wikipedia those words tonight to see if I can give further intelligent input~~
I wish I had thought this through for myself before plowing ahead in the video.
In this situation, I would be thinking about whether I'm being given an honest and accurate description of the situation. If I could verify that everyone had gotten the million dollars and I'm not going to be the last participant, then I'm taking the one box.
That's only the strategically worse move if there's no uncertainty about whether the situation is what they claim it is.