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there are no parties using prediction markets as hedges, I think the claim is

Maybe not now, but is there a good reason why that wouldn't happen?

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Sure sure sure, but if things were different I'd have a different opinion

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I'm just pointing out that it's not unreasonable to expect these to be better than fair at some point, which isn't something I've seen anyone say before.

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Hoooopeful. We shall see

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