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It's absolutely true... I'm very happy to see people here who are realists or at least think realists. When I delivered this text to the content producer who commissioned the work and he made the video, he immediately messaged me and spoke very harshly and angrily and complained to me that the text I gave him caused trouble for him because about a thousand people had left negative comments under his post or insulted or mocked him and said that the words in the video were all fantasy and lies. I said that day that I have written my analysis and personal thoughts and I still believe that what I said will all happen. He didn't say anything and blocked me. A few days ago, I went and saw the video. There are 4600 comments under the post, which is very interesting. The comments that are dated 5 months ago are all insults, and the comments that are related to the last one or two months all praise the video and say that everything in the video really happened. But I still have the same situation, every word I say to others about the future of the war and developments in the region is strange and unbelievable to them and they don't accept any of them, but unfortunately, all of them will happen in a few months. I do not claim to be a prophet in any way, there is only one reason that I look at the events realistically and based on my own logic, I draw the path of the next move and the result of that move, and if the two sides move according to the rules, the results that I guessed will definitely happen... Wow, my God, I'm sorry it took so long, it's a bad habit to leave long comments and I must try to be concise and useful in the future... I'm glad that you also have realistic thoughts and thank you for your support
It is hard to accept that the world is changing especially if you have been a beneficiary of western imperialism, but those who refuse to see the world is changing are no doing themselves any favours by not facing the change.
The west is not doomed but if it continues to deny what is happening I believe the ultimate outcome will be much worse than accepting the change and responding accordingly.
Very prescient analysis I am impressed.
The war has unfolded very much as you predicted!
I see this war also in a wider context of China challenging US hegemony.
China now buys most of the oil from the middle east and has continued to buy Iraqnian oil despite US sanctions.
It is only because of Chinese support for Iran over more than a decade that Iran is still viable as a nation and a military.
China at the same time supports Russia and its challenge to the west via Ukraine.
China has the strongest economy- it produces nearly everything cheaper and more efficiently than anyone else- but it needs the energy imports from oil exporters and wants to secure those imports.
USA is in decline and must accept that- USA is nearly out of Interceptors and has lost credibility as a guarantor of security to oil exporters.
Hopefully USA can adjust to the new reality of Chinese economic dominance- it looks like that adjustment will not be easy, bit it will be easier if USA sees the writing on the wall rather than expending all its remaining power projection to the point of complete collapse...which is what Trump is doing.
If Iran succeeds it could be the end of Israel- Most of the Middle East want Israel gone.
There can be no peace in the region as long as Israel continues to exist in its current form seeking to expand and claim its Greater Israel expansionary vision.