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It's all so very tiring. #1528815, #1530104

You print 1.6% new shares to stack low-yielding (well below cost of capital) USD and then repurchase a small amount of your main (expensive!) outstanding liability, which falls(!) on the announcement. (Marginally; STRC is still below par.)

I dunno man, this is not serious, accretive, beneficial stewardship of funds.I dunno man, this is not serious, accretive, beneficial stewardship of funds.

Dude should just close up shop and return remaining value to shareholders...


A few weeks back when I made a deep dive into Strategy's finances I had the most horrific timing. I laid out, plainly and convincingly, how their metrics are skewed and BTC/share, when fully accounting for the prefs, had actually been negative for the year.

tl;dr = bitcoin-per-share matters squat when you’re racking up preferred shares in the tens of billion, and you're willing to dilute commons to service the interest rate on the prefs.

NO LOL, THAT'S CRIMINAL, OMG YOU DON'T GET IT bruh. GET ON THE SAYLORBOI HYPETRAIN.

Yes, literal reactions from some Saylorbois. Then a few hours after I posted that, STRATEGY THEMSELVES made a presentation and launched "net metrics" to account for exactly my problem. (I take no credit for this, lol)

“We’ve introduced ‘Net’ metrics, so we have net reserve and net BTC, denoted in dollar and bitcoin terms. And this represents the bitcoin that is attributable to common equity shareholders after the deduction of senior claims.” – Chaitanya Jain
https://x.com/Strategy/status/2080383027499221068

My (unpublished) note from the day after had the title "Aaah, Den Loves the Smell of Strategy Napalm in the Morning."

Basically: I was right. Did the Saylorbois, like BIPtards, come back and apologize? No, they just 1984-style pretended this was the policy all along.


ANyway, today Saylor is back with another bout of emergency financing in this wonderful financial engineering experiment that is Strategy: dilute shareholders 1.6% to stack sats fiat

Melting ice cube no more; USD is great. Peter Schiff's question to Saylor post is correct:

"Why should any Bitcoiner own MSTR common?""Why should any Bitcoiner own MSTR common?"

Indeed.
The answer is no Bitcoiner should own MSTR common. Problem being: there's nobody else who wants to own MSTR common but bagholding Saylorbois.

You are last in line to that humongous pile of bitcoin, and the sliver you own is infinitely printable (dare I say _inflationary?!_)

For to even understand the promise of a potential value increase accruing to commons (ie the bottom of the barrel in Saylor's vast, Ponzi-like capital structure) you must believe that BTC is valuable, and increasingly valuable over time.

Very few people do, and they're all in on self-custody coins already. (Or at least they were, pre-Coldcard... hashtag OOPS!)

Here's an interesting question from another reply-guy:

"Why are you stacking dollars at the bottom? You have this backwards""Why are you stacking dollars at the bottom? You have this backwards"

The point illustrates expertly why Saylor's returns have never been particularly good. His cost basis is roughly the short-term holder's... and he overbuys when the mania lets him print shares for free or have STRC inflows, sells BTC to finance the liabilities when he doesn't (e.g., now -- at the bottom).

Indeed, the Strategy strategy is biased to work only in bull segments of the cycle, meaning Strategy structurally overpays for its bitcoin.

Put in terms even the 80-IQ Saylorbois understand: his acquisitions are structurally non-accretive.

Or in more plain English: Strategy receives worse performance than a regular DCA-across-cycle would achieve.

This is the next hero to slayThis is the next hero to slay

I can't wait.

Dude should just close up shop and return remaining value to shareholders...

Well if he did that shareholders stand to do okay

Now if Ford decided to liquidate the business shareholders wouldn’t get squat

But I guess Ford is better than Saylor because they make cars even with an ugly balance sheet such as that one.

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Balance sheet matters way less when you produce shit and make, you know, profits. Cash flow positive etc. Can easily carry the debt. But you saylorbois wouldnt know anything about that, right?

Strategy is a negative-accruing etf, pretending its a bank, and fleeces its shareholders to stay alive. Pathetic.

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Really haha so you rather own a share of Ford over a Share of MSTR because Ford makes cars even though they are terrible at financial management. Someone who claims to be about free markets and economics how can you make any make sense of the fact that Ford is still in business? They should have went bankrupt before Obama saved them with a government subsidy. How easily we forget the cash for clunkers program the government did to bailout the overly indebted auto industry!

But let’s look at their free cash flows

You see $7.2B of free cash flow and you think great but if they applied every single dollar to their outstanding debt it would take them 22 years to pay it off!! and that is assuming they can keep up! 22 years when it’s clear they lost the EV race and other headwinds that face the business.

But yet Saylor buying Bitcoin is a scam. Using the public markets to raise money and buy stock stack cash and buy bitcoin is scam.

Price is the ultimate truth teller if the market hated MSTR it wouldn’t be trading at near $100 a share and market cap of almost $40B.

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How long have they been around, making cars?

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And that’s explains them being insolvent today? They are a net negative on society yet they are kept around because they make cars haha even tho they can’t do it enough to stay solvent.

If all the debt holders called in the debt today they would be toast

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You're not this stupid, sir. Stop saying asinine things.

It's in the nature of debt that calling them in at a moment's notice would ruin someone: cue every mortgage ever.

And Ford isn't insolvent; words have meaning, stupid.

What meaningfully different between a producing company that's been around forever and has healthy cash flows to support its expenses and a new, aggressive Ponzi-financed pot of bitcoin without any of that is the chances/probability demand for its liabilities will evaporate.

Strategy relies on a tenuous, microscopic market for its oversized liabilities that it constantly needs to roll over to new suckers; Ford is in a vastly better situation to roll debt since they actually earn money — what a concept

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Comparing a mortgage to corporate debt is laughable! Two different credit instruments plus mortgages are backed by the socialist system we live in.

Clearly you can’t read. I said if debt holders called in the debt today Ford would be insolvent. If a bankruptcy court liquidated all of Ford’s assets would every single bond holder be made whole? I think not!!

Your hate for Saylor and what he is doing is blinded you from basic economic principles.

It’s laughable watching you defend Ford who should’ve went bankrupt a long time ago.

You are the guy still viewing the market in the future cash flows model that must materialize to keep Ford afloat.

And the expectation of that future cash flow keeps the ford insolvent machine going.

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Stop, stop, stop. You're just making noise, now.

If you want to seriously discuss corporate finance and bailouts and public markets, I'm all for it. But do it properly and not this retarded

Saylor is a twat, and a stain on Bitcoin.

Structurally non-accretive is the big issue.

It’s ironic that he’s selling the bottom, but I maintain that could be justified by the mNAV. It’s not the bottom of shares-per-bitcoin, after all.

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