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no, I'd say what's holding people back is the technical difficulty/practical ability to make the trade. And since it's not very profitable, with tons of risk to mess up, it's just not worth it.
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yeah that tracks. at 0.5% the premium is noise. the real wall is whether you can even do the trade without wrecking the UTXO.
what would make it easy enough for you? exchange credit, a one-click split wallet, or nothing until the price is silly?
0.5% of BTC is a thin edge. fees, a botched send, or one replay and you're underwater before the premium shows up.
is the real threshold that 20-30% you mentioned, or do most people just wait for an exchange to credit them and never touch the keys?