Investment newsletter publisher Rob Spivey is pitching two stocks through Altimetry Hidden Alpha Stocks, with some pretty ambitious marketing, “The #1 Oil Income Play of 2026” and “The Big Score: How to Profit as America Goes Nuclear.” I believe the companies are...
- Baker Hughes (BKR) — The Oil Income Play
Baker Hughes provides equipment and technology to the oil and gas industry, including natural gas infrastructure. The investment thesis isn't just about oil prices. Growing electricity demand, particularly from AI data centers, could increase demand for natural gas turbines, compressors, and related equipment.
But there's a problem with the marketing. Baker Hughes currently yields only around 1.5%. That's hardly the kind of income most investors would expect from a supposedly exceptional oil-income opportunity. The company has legitimate growth opportunities, but the investment depends more on earnings growth and valuation than collecting substantial dividends.
- Constellation Energy (CEG) — The Nuclear Power Play
This one is arguably more interesting. Constellation operates the largest nuclear power fleet in the United States, making it a major supplier of reliable, around-the-clock electricity. And AI data centers need enormous amounts of electricity.
Unlike solar and wind, nuclear power can provide consistent output without depending on weather conditions. That makes Constellation a potential beneficiary of the AI infrastructure boom.
But there's a catch here, too. Investors already recognize the opportunity. Nuclear-related stocks have attracted considerable attention, and Constellation's valuation has reflected expectations for future electricity demand. But the shares have declined significantly from earlier highs, potentially making the valuation more reasonable.
Here's what I find interesting about both pitches. One is marketed as an oil-income opportunity, while the other promises big gains from America's nuclear expansion, yet both ultimately depend on the same underlying investment theme...AI is going to need a tremendous amount of electricity, and somebody has to supply it.
Natural gas infrastructure and nuclear generation are two different ways to invest in that demand. But the best technology or strongest industry trend doesn't necessarily produce the best stock returns, especially when investors have already priced in years of growth.
If you were investing in AI's energy demands, would you rather own the natural gas infrastructure supplying power plants or the nuclear companies generating the electricity?
BKR (Baker Hughes) 4 of 9
✅ P/E 17.4x trailing, in my band
✅ Payout 29%
✅ CEO pay is small next to $29B revenue
✅ Energy. Gas turbines and LNG gear riding the data center power buildout
❌ Yield 1.7%, need 3% or more. Some income play
❌ Debt about $18B after the Chart deal, near 33% of market cap, leverage 2.5x
❌ Cash $4.1B does not cover the debt
❌ Free cash flow covers expenses only about 1.2x, need 2x
❌ Growth near 11% plus the yield lands about 13% a year, under my 15% Bitcoin bear hurdle
Lyn's Lens: profitable, net margin near 10%. Her entry math says about $60 to $69 and the stock sits at $54.51, so the price works for her. P/FCF payback is about 16 years. The balance sheet and the Bitcoin hurdle kill it, not the price.
CEG (Constellation Energy) 4 of 9
✅ P/E 25.7x trailing, about 22x forward, in my band
✅ Payout 16%
✅ CEO pay passes next to $31B revenue
✅ Nuclear power, the biggest carbon free fleet in the country
❌ Yield 0.65%, need 3% or more
❌ Net debt $24B after the Calpine deal, near 26% of market cap
❌ Cash $0.7B does not come close to covering the debt
❌ Reported free cash flow is near zero during the Calpine buildout. About 22 years of payback even on guided cash flow before growth spending
❌ Growth near 12% plus a 0.65% yield lands about 13% a year, under the hurdle
Lyn's Lens: profitable, net margin near 11%. Her entry math lands about $230 to $260 and the stock is $264, right at the top of her range after falling from a $401 high.
Both are a pass for me. The marketing sells income and a big score. The math says two good businesses carrying acquisition debt, paying almost nothing, and growing too slow to beat Bitcoin.
I really like this insight. I searched for Lyn's Lens and found the service. How long have you had it, assume you are happy with the results? Looks pretty good.
Lyn’s lens is Lyn Alden 😆