Very possible that it fails but also possible it doesn't. I pretty much agree with you on Nostr. Thing is... it doesn't have to be adopted by everyone that is using social media now. It will be successful IMO if it works for the people that see the value. I despise this defeatist attitude about companies like FB, Google, and TicTok. We are so short sighted. I can see these companies failing or at least losing their market share. Maybe not in the short term but I believe it will happen.