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What exactly do you want out of replying to me?
I'm shouting into the void like screaming into a pillow
Paul's whole idea with truthcoin/hivemind was prediction markets until he distracted himself with the idea of drivechains to solve a problem that didn't actually exist
I want you to explain why you care what Paul does. Also, I believe prediction markets can run on drivechains.
Because your post is essentially a veiled ad hominem.
Know nothing about him, but it’s funny because my first instinct when reading this post was “betting sites / sportsbooks are really a thing of beauty” in that sense
Just came across this randomly, pretty interesting, the 2nd link shows how closely the odds track the actual outcome
I buy into a lot of the arguments regarding predictions markets, but haven't taken the time to better understand the proposed BIPs. I generally oppose BIPs, and wish they would find a way to implement drivechains without a fork, but it seems that "hash escrow" (whatever that means) is pivotal to his proposal and that requires a soft fork.
He seems harmless to me, though certainly highly opinionated and confident about it. what exactly do you want out of this post?
Also, regarding prediction markets, if I recall correctly betting sites are better at predicting certain things, like elections, than other methodologies