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5 sats \ 25 replies \ @Michelson_Morley OP 5 Sep 2023 \ parent \ on: Convince me, a bitcoin fanatic, why Monero is the future of crypto. bitcoin
What does this mean? Only one cryptocurrency can exist in the long run? Can you elaborate.
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"Maybe you need a Monero" -Michael Saylor
1. Transparency:
A double-edged sword. Your transactions are now surveillable and lack real world fungibility. And even worse because in practice you don't take advantage of Bitcoin's transparent chain. You are not checking Bitcoins transparent blockchain and making sure all inputs = all outputs every 10 minutes. Running a node and paying no mind doesn't count. Typing in a command doesn't count. Otherwise you are doing the same thing any Monero user would do.
2. Scalability:
Even if you assume the whole world will use your crypto (big assumption that I don't believe) it highly depends on the rate of adoption, protocol improvements (Monero tx size has been reduced by ~80% since it started), and consumer tech advances. Bitcoin has been extremely conservative in that regard. It doesn't necessarily mean Monero won't scale.
https://youtu.be/9RJ5HDmuucY?si=46BXFqieuG-AiKkj&t=482
Bitcoin on chain has similar scalability to Monero. Lightning is a different beast to Bitcoin. Many sacrifices. Core value props and security is not translated to L2s. What is actually being scaled?
https://www.truthcoin.info/blog/lightning-limitations/
3. Adoption and Recognition:
If adoption and recognition right now were all that mattered fiat money has Bitcoin beat
4. Network Effects:
Same answer as above + We can clearly see this isn't true. Monero is on pace to surpass Bitcoin in DNMs (if it hasn't already) even with it's first mover advantage. Monero also has a first mover advantage and network effect in the "privacy coin" category. Does that mean Bitcoin should give up any attempt at privacy? I'm sure you would say no.
While Monero offers unique privacy features BY DEFAULT, you can achieve the same level of privacy using Coinjoins and Layer 2's on Bitcoin, so why even bother with Monero?
No it isn't the same. You can:
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Achieve weak coinjoin obfuscation on Bitcoin that is techncially inferior to Monero's encryption, expensive, slower, and more tedious vs Monero. Addtionally you have to maintain it going forward.
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Or you can sacrifice core value props like self custody, permissionlessness, p2p, or final settlement and security guarantees to gain Monero's level of privacy on L2 (the only thing on par with Monero right now would maybe be Ecash, but you sacrifice self-custody. Liquid and lightning are inferior privacy vs Monero.)
Either case is not a full replacement for Monero.
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Monero has only 0,24% market dominance and $ 69 milion Volume (24h)
While Bitcoin has almost 50% market dominance and $ 10 Bilion Volume (24h)
Monero YTD% is -6,10%
Bitcoin YTD% is +53,91%
Your privacy coin is losing value just by holding it. It's worse than fiat.
How many Monero ETFs you heard on the news?
Monero is slowly but surely losing ranks on CoinMarketCap (right now is at 25º), even Bitcoin Cash (a complete shitcoin) has double the volume of Monero.
Monero has no supply cap, and there is no way for people to audit the blockchain, it's just like Fiat.
Monero has been losing in every metric imaginable, for years, and will continue to do so.
THERE IS NO SECOND BEST
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Monero does ~8x more transactions in proportion to market cap
What does any of that have to do with privacy, fungibility, and cheap txs? You're losing value by just USING Bitcoin. Worse than fiat. The more you USE Bitcoin the poorer you get especially going into the future as tx fees continue to rise.
Then don't hold it long term. If you speculate this trend will continue into the future no one is forcing you to save with Monero long term or to hold a lot of it. Do you store all your value in cash or expect cash to be the best store of value? No. But it is useful and a great medium of exchange with different strength vs gold or other commodities. Global cash market is ~$100 trillion. Cash is king. Monero is a better p2p digital cash.
Monero has no limit, but has a predictable steady inflation rate (unlike fiat), and inflation is less than that of gold. So scary! Is gold worthless?
You audit Monero the same way you audit Bitcoin. You run a node. You type in a command and it spits a number back out. In practice, no Bitcoiner is taking advantage of Bitcoin's transparent simple math by manually adding up all inputs and all outputs every 10 minutes. So what is the real world difference? It's larping.
Monero is winning in strong default privacy, real world fungibility, and very cheap txs without compromising self-custody, permissionlessness, final settlement or P2P. The darknets AKA free markets can back this up.
"MAYBE YOU NEED A MONERO" -Michael Saylor
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You do you. Go ahead and keep your Monero coin that is rank 25 on coinmarketcap behind most shitscoins scams and with negative returns. I will stay with my Bitcoin, the apex asset.
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Na, I can use both for their strengths. You can ape into a single one if you want.
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Austrian economics emphasizes the importance of sound money, which maintains its value over time. Bitcoin's limited supply (capped at 21 million coins) and decentralized issuance ensure that it cannot be subject to inflationary pressures or arbitrary monetary policies. Monero has a infinite supply. This makes it a the oposite of a store of value in the long term, especially in comparison to Bitcoin.
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Unless you account for the inevitable entropy of funds being lost in unreachable transactions.
I mean it's a bit like saying "gold is in danger because sometimes we drop it in the ocean". But maybe you see my point
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literally the first person here to steel man monero lol. good luck! By the looks of things, you're up 100k sats on saturday.
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If people can't audit the blockchain, it's just like Fiat.
If there is no supply cap, it's just like Fiat.
If it has been losing value over time, it's just like Fiat.
THERE IS NO SECOND BEST
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- Not true. The Monero blockchain is auditable with a node just like Bitcoin. It is just audited using more complex math vs Bitcoin. Bitcoiners trust complex math and cryptographic assumptions in other critical areas of Bitcoin, but not with this? Seems inconsistent: https://sethforprivacy.com/posts/dispelling-monero-fud/#you-cant-audit-the-monero-supply
And in practice, no Bitcoiner is taking advantage of it's simple math to audit the blockchain. No one manually checks every 10 minutes that all inputs = all outputs. They just run a node and don't give it another thought. Exactly as any Monero user would.
- Yes, no supply cap, but supply is steady and predictable (unlike fiat) and it is less inflation than gold. It is also decentralized, permissionless, non custodial, final settlement, p2p, and FOSS. So no it isn't "just like fiat".
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Don't hold Monero long term and/or don't hold a lot if you think this trend will continue. Use it like cash. This isn't difficult.
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Name 1 exchange that accepts Monero.
And i doupt there are many P2P offers.
Thanks for writing! Appreciate it. I'll compare it with other responses (if there are any) and pay the bounty to the top one on Saturday. :)
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Listen man, I appreciate the effort, but you're misunderstanding the assignment. I know people on this site can defend bitcoin. Did you read my post?
What you are doing is literally the opposite of steelmanning monero.
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- Less than 1% of bitcoin mcap, but often 5-10% of Bitcoin's tx count. This disproportionate usage should tell you something.
- If you fear inflation less than that of gold, you don't have to hold Monero. Use it. Continue saving in Bitcoin.
- Naturally. But if you go to the birthplace of Bitcoin the Darknet Markets AKA free markets - Monero is just as accepted as Bitcoin and in some cases is the only one accepted.
- This is not true. Coinjoining is merely obfuscation, a weaker form of privacy that can potentially be undone with more data or future mistakes. L2s can achieve Monero's level of privacy, but not without sacrificing major value props of L1 like self-custody, permissionlessness, p2p, or final settlement (Ecash, Liquid, Lightning). You can have robust privacy without sacrificing core value props by using Monero.
- Monero is audited the same way as Bitcoin. You run a node. While true to a degree - no Bitcoiner is taking advantage of Bitcoin's simple math transparency in practice. You are not checking every 10 minutes yourself that all inputs = all outputs. You run a node and pay no mind.
- This is fine. Monero gave up limited supply for future on chain security, useability/affordability for all users. Bitcoin gave that up for stronger store of value. Trade offs were made.
- This is the weakest criticism of all. You are using the same FUD tradfi and mainstream media used to attack Bitcoin in it's Darknet Market infancy. The highest adversarial targets choosing to use it (criminals) means it works! Is our goal unstoppable money or is it not? If a few bobbleheads saying mean things is all it takes to destroy your crypto...well it was going to die anyway.
My experience (myself included) is Bitcoin maxis slowly coming to accept Monero and realizing its invaluable utility. Bitcoin and Monero occupy different realms. They are not antagonistic - they are synergystic.
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- "Less than 1% of bitcoin mcap, but often 5-10% of Bitcoin's tx count. This disproportionate usage should tell you something."
Even if Monero has 5-10% of Bitcoins tx count, Monero has 100+ times less volume.
Most small transactions are being done inside Lightning Network, if we include them, Monero drops to less than 1% of Bitcoin tx count.
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Lightning has $126 million flowing through it.
Monero has $2.6 billion.
Outside of these little bubbles no one uses lightning. Much less use it in any fully sovereign manner. ~96% of LN users are on custodial wallets. So even with this small lightning usage can you really even count that as "using"? Debatable.
There is virtually zero usage of lightning in adversarial environment free markets like DNMs where Bitcoin was born and these things are mercilessly put to the test. Monero is used as much as Bitcoin there as of late 2021. Most likely has already surpassed Bitcioin.
Monero does ~8x more transactions in proportion to market cap vs Bitcoin.
And Bitcoin volume is virtually non-existent vs fiat...but that is a single metric and doesn't account for other value props of Bitcoin that make it unique, right?
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Have fun staying surveilled, tainted, and growing poorer with every use.